Chris Simms· Nov 6, 2026
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
“The Jaguars are a drill top notch, top tier Super Bowl team right now.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →
15 checkable claims — 14 score predictions and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
13 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 83 out of 100, against 42.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Bengals at Falcons 20 calls
- Broncos at Panthers 19 calls
- Rams at Commanders 16 calls
- Giants at Eagles 14 calls
- Lions at Dolphins 9 calls
- Cowboys at Colts 17 calls
- Browns at Saints 16 calls
- Jets at Chiefs 20 calls
- Raiders at 49ers 12 calls
- Texans at Chargers 22 calls
- Packers at Patriots 25 calls
- Cardinals at Seahawks 50 calls
- Buccaneers at Bears 23 calls
- Bills at Vikings 53 calls
15 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Score PredictionsHouston TexansNov 6, 2026
Houston Texans 27 — chargers 13
“I will take the, Texas twenty seven thirteen.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 0+126.29 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 44-22
- skill:
- 126.29
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 80.95
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 22
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.13
- predicted margin:
- 14
Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 27–13 calls a bigger Texans win (by 14) and fewer points (40).
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksNov 6, 2026
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Cardinals 13
“I'm gonna get... Take, the Seahawks twenty four thirteen in this one.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 66.97+40.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 3-17
- skill:
- 40.39
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 66.97
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.13
- predicted margin:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5, total 39.5 · this 24–13 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 11) and fewer points (37).
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsNov 6, 2026
Chicago Bears 24 — Bucks 20
“I'm going bears win, but twenty four twenty, I think this is gonna be a fun game to watch.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 93.16+6.96 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 24-27
- skill:
- 6.96
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 93.16
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.13
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Bears by 4) and fewer points (44).
- Score PredictionsNew England PatriotsNov 6, 2026
New England Patriots 27 — Packers 17
“the patriots balance on both sides of the ball is just gonna wear the packers down... I got them winning, twenty seven seventeen here.”
Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 7.44+36.68 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 45-27
- skill:
- 36.68
- they picked:
- NE
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 30.95
- baseline:
- 7.44
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.13
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
- Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ersNov 6, 2026
San Francisco 49ers 35 — Raiders 17
“Thirty five seventeen forty niners.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 50.3+66.39 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 17-38
- skill:
- 66.39
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 50.3
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 21
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.13
- predicted margin:
- 18
Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5, total 51.5 · this 35–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 18) and more points (52).
- Score PredictionsNew Orleans SaintsNov 6, 2026
New Orleans Saints 21 — Browns 17
“I'm gonna go twenty one seventeen Saints.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 97.97-7.97 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 22-23
- skill:
- −7.97
- they picked:
- NO
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 97.97
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 21–17 calls a closer game (Saints by 4) and fewer points (38).
- Score PredictionsDenver BroncosNov 6, 2026
Denver Broncos 28 — Panthers 24
“I'm gonna go Broncos 2824 here.”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 38.44+92.31 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 26-21
- skill:
- 92.31
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 38.44
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 4) and more points (52).
- Score PredictionsNew York GiantsNov 6, 2026
New York Giants 27 — Eagles 17
“I like the Giants here... I got him covered, and I'm 27 to 17.”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 31.3+99.74 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 19-11
- skill:
- 99.74
- they picked:
- NYG
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 95.24
- baseline:
- 31.3
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3, total 38.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Giants win (by 10) and more points (44). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsDallas CowboysNov 6, 2026
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Colts 21
“I'm taking the Cowboys thirty one twenty one.”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 40.82+70.03 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-23
- skill:
- 70.03
- they picked:
- DAL
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 85.71
- baseline:
- 40.82
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5, total 51.5 · this 31–21 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 10) and more points (52).
- Score PredictionsLos Angeles RamsNov 6, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 30 — Commanders 20
“I'm gonna go Rams 30 to 20 here.”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 33.68+92.31 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-13
- skill:
- 92.31
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 33.68
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Rams by 4.5, total 48.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Rams win (by 10) and more points (50).
- Score PredictionsDetroit LionsNov 6, 2026
Detroit Lions 34 — Dolphins 24
“And I'm going Lions thirty four twenty four.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 26.54+114.6 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 19-9
- skill:
- 114.6
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 26.54
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 10
Closing line (Nov 8): Lions by 6.5, total 49.5 · this 34–24 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and more points (58).
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsNov 6, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Jets 23
“I'm gonna say twenty seven twenty three. Kansas City Chiefs, I do.”
Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 50+7.43 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 12-35
- skill:
- 7.43
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 54.76
- baseline:
- 50
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.15
- predicted margin:
- 4
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 27–23 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 4) and more points (50).
- Score PredictionsCincinnati BengalsNov 6, 2026
Cincinnati Bengals 30 — Falcons 28
“I'm gonna take the Bengals, but I'm I'm not gonna have them cover. I mean, I I wrote down 30 to 28”
Close · 64Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 10.09+84.55 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 34-17
- skill:
- 84.55
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 64.29
- baseline:
- 10.09
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- naive home margin:
- 0.24
- predicted margin:
- 2
Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 30–28 calls a closer game (Bengals by 2) and more points (58). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
- Score PredictionsBuffalo BillsNov 6, 2026
Buffalo Bills 23 — Vikings 20
“I'm gonna have Buffalo scoring 23 points... I'm gonna no Bills win. I have a twenty three twenty.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Playoff PicksJacksonville JaguarsNov 6, 2026
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“don't be shocked if we're sitting there going, man, the the the Jaguars are in the AFC championship game, one game away to go to the Super Bowl”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffDraft Bust Calls · Caleb WilliamsMiss · 0Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. He is pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying he'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. He also sees Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
- Jeremy BrenerScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Zac CorneliusScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 29Zach projected the Buccaneers to beat the Bears 24-12.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 71Dubin predicts a lopsided Jaguars win over the Ravens on Thursday night and takes the Packers to upset the Patriots in Week 9.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 71Dubin predicted scores for the same seven Week 9 games, including a lopsided Jacksonville win, a Bengals victory over Atlanta, and low-scoring wins for Denver, Green Bay, Chicago and Buffalo.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64Dajani picked all seven featured Week 9 games with final scores, including a blowout Jaguars win in Baltimore, an Atlanta upset of Cincinnati in Madrid, and a narrow Bills win in Minneapolis.
- Mitchell EisensteinScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersClose · 64Mitchell gave his Week 9 top-five power rankings, keeping Buffalo first and the 49ers second while elevating the Bears, Jaguars and Lions, and picked a slate of Week 9 games including a Packers win in New England, a Panthers upset of Denver, and blowouts for Detroit, Kansas City and Houston. He also tabbed Jonah Coleman as a late-season Offensive Rookie of the Year pick.