Skip to main content

Chris Simms· Nov 6, 2026

Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.

“The Jaguars are a drill top notch, top tier Super Bowl team right now.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast) · read the original →

15 checkable claims — 14 score predictions and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 15 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

13 of 15 have settled so far, averaging 83 out of 100, against 42.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

15 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Houston Texans 27 — chargers 13

    “I will take the, Texas twenty seven thirteen.”

    Hit · 81Scored 80.95a naive guess scored 0+126.29 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    126.29
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    80.95
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 27–13 calls a bigger Texans win (by 14) and fewer points (40).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 24 — Cardinals 13

    “I'm gonna get... Take, the Seahawks twenty four thirteen in this one.”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 66.97+40.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    3-17
    skill:
    40.39
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    66.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5, total 39.5 · this 24–13 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 11) and fewer points (37).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears 24 — Bucks 20

    “I'm going bears win, but twenty four twenty, I think this is gonna be a fun game to watch.”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 93.16+6.96 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    6.96
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    93.16
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Bears by 4) and fewer points (44).

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots 27 — Packers 17

    “the patriots balance on both sides of the ball is just gonna wear the packers down... I got them winning, twenty seven seventeen here.”

    Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 7.44+36.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    36.68
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    30.95
    baseline:
    7.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Patriots win (by 10) and fewer points (44).

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers 35 — Raiders 17

    “Thirty five seventeen forty niners.”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 50.3+66.39 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-38
    skill:
    66.39
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    50.3
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    18

    Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5, total 51.5 · this 35–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 18) and more points (52).

    Think this is wrong?

  • New Orleans Saints 21 — Browns 17

    “I'm gonna go twenty one seventeen Saints.”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 97.97-7.97 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-23
    skill:
    −7.97
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    97.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 21–17 calls a closer game (Saints by 4) and fewer points (38).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denver Broncos 28 — Panthers 24

    “I'm gonna go Broncos 2824 here.”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 38.44+92.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    92.31
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    38.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 4) and more points (52).

    Think this is wrong?

  • New York Giants 27 — Eagles 17

    “I like the Giants here... I got him covered, and I'm 27 to 17.”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 31.3+99.74 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-11
    skill:
    99.74
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    31.3
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3, total 38.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Giants win (by 10) and more points (44). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys 31 — Colts 21

    “I'm taking the Cowboys thirty one twenty one.”

    Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 40.82+70.03 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-23
    skill:
    70.03
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    40.82
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5, total 51.5 · this 31–21 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 10) and more points (52).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 30 — Commanders 20

    “I'm gonna go Rams 30 to 20 here.”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 33.68+92.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-13
    skill:
    92.31
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    33.68
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Rams by 4.5, total 48.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Rams win (by 10) and more points (50).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Detroit Lions 34 — Dolphins 24

    “And I'm going Lions thirty four twenty four.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 26.54+114.6 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-9
    skill:
    114.6
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    26.54
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Lions by 6.5, total 49.5 · this 34–24 calls a bigger Lions win (by 10) and more points (58).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Jets 23

    “I'm gonna say twenty seven twenty three. Kansas City Chiefs, I do.”

    Close · 55Scored 54.76a naive guess scored 50+7.43 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    7.43
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    54.76
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 27–23 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 4) and more points (50).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals 30 — Falcons 28

    “I'm gonna take the Bengals, but I'm I'm not gonna have them cover. I mean, I I wrote down 30 to 28”

    Close · 64Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 10.09+84.55 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    84.55
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    64.29
    baseline:
    10.09
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.24
    predicted margin:
    2

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 30–28 calls a closer game (Bengals by 2) and more points (58). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills 23 — Vikings 20

    “I'm gonna have Buffalo scoring 23 points... I'm gonna no Bills win. I have a twenty three twenty.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs

    “don't be shocked if we're sitting there going, man, the the the Jaguars are in the AFC championship game, one game away to go to the Super Bowl”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these