Pete Prisco

Pete Prisco covers the NFL for CBS Sports, where his work spans weekly power rankings, game picks, and season-long predictions. His analysis touches teams across the league, from the Packers to the Cowboys to the Bills, and he weighs in on everything from Super Bowl picks to depth chart projections.

Writes at Locked On Packers (podcast)

Every take from Pete Prisco, including the ones still waiting →

Is Pete Prisco accurate? Across 61 graded calls in 11 articles, Pete Prisco scores 56.18% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 6.44, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

56.18%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

6.44

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 11 articles. 39 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

97.14% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Against the grain

Teams and players where Pete Prisco keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

New England Patriots-100
Outside the room in 4 of 4 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Jacksonville Jaguars+74
Outside the room in 3 of 8 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

earliest callscareer avg 59 ┄latest form: 61

Graded calls · 61

7 of 11 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 2.

Prisco picked the Eagles to win in Chicago 27-13.Sep 28, 2026
- Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Bears 13
  “Prisco's pick: Eagles 27-13 over Bears”
  Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 54.46-35.44 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  7-27
  skill:
  -35.44
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  35.71
  baseline:
  54.46
  difficulty:
  1.89
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  20
  weeks left when called:
  16

Prisco picks every Week 3 game with exact scores, highlighting upsets by Tampa Bay over Minnesota and Cleveland over Carolina, and expects the Giants to rally behind Jameis Winston.16 graded calls · Sep 23, 2026

Cleveland Browns 23 — Panthers 20
“The Browns take it in an upset. Pick: Browns 23, Panthers 20”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 93.97+11.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-21
skill:
11.39
they picked:
CLE
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 31 — Colts 20
“The Texans get their first victory as the offense comes to life against the Colts. Pick: Texans 31, Colts 20”
Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 96.35-128.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
-128.11
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
28.57
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Dolphins 10
“Pick: Chiefs 28, Dolphins 10”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 17.78+137.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-10
skill:
137.39
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
17.78
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 33 — Cowboys 30
“I think Jackson rebounds to lead the Ravens to a high-scoring victory. Pick: Ravens 33, Cowboys 30”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 43.97+105.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
105.89
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
43.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 30 — Cardinals 17
“49ers take it. Pick: 49ers 30, Cardinals 17”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 86.83-6.61 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-36
skill:
-6.61
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
86.83
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21 — Vikings 20
“this one will be won by the Bucs defense. They finally step up. Pick: Bucs 21, Vikings 20”
Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 34.45+2.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-16
skill:
2.39
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
35.71
baseline:
34.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 30 — Broncos 23
“Look for Matt Stafford and the Rams to win it. Pick: Rams 30, Broncos 23”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 91.59-92.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-30
skill:
-92.11
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
91.59
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 23 — Steelers 13
“look for the Bengals to play well again on that side of the ball as they go to 3-0. Pick: Bengals 23, Steelers 13”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 93.97-114.61 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-30
skill:
-114.61
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Giants 23 — Titans 14
“Look for the Giants to rally around him in Dart's absence. Pick: Giants 23, Titans 14”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 89.21+2.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-12
skill:
2.39
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
89.21
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 32 — Chargers 23
“Pick: Bills 32, Chargers 23”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 82.07+29.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
16-24
skill:
29.39
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
82.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
9
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Commanders 13
“Seattle takes it. Pick: Seahawks 24, Commanders 13”
Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 96.35-128.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-33
skill:
-128.11
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
28.57
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 21 — Patriots 16
“The Jaguars get back on track in a lower-scoring game. Pick: Jaguars 21, Patriots 16”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-35
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
29
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Bears 13
“The Eagles will limit the run game and win it behind their defense, with Jalen Hurts having a good day. Pick: Eagles 27, Bears 13”
Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 54.46-35.44 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-27
skill:
-35.44
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
35.71
baseline:
54.46
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
20
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints 21 — Raiders 14
“Look for the Saints to look good in their home opener with Tyler Shough having another good day. Pick: Saints 21, Raiders 14”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 32.07+29.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-27
skill:
29.39
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
32.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 28 — Jets 23
“Pick: Lions 28, Jets 23”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 84.45+20.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-31
skill:
20.39
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
84.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 27 — Falcons 17
“Pick: Packers 27, Falcons 17”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 0+45 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-14
skill:
45
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
-0.45
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?

Prisco picks four road/home winners with exact scores: Falcons over Panthers, Bears over Vikings, Jaguars upsetting Broncos, Chargers over Raiders, and Cowboys over Commanders.5 graded calls · Sep 18, 2026

Chicago Bears 30 — Vikings 24
“Pete Prisco on why he has the Bears pulling off the 30-24 win over Minnesota.”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 34.49+30.1 skill
How this was scored
score:
9-3
skill:
30.1
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
34.49
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Commanders 24
“Pete Prisco on why the Cowboys will notch their first win of the season over Washington, 31-24.”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 58.29+34.72 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-37
skill:
34.72
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
58.29
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons 21 — Panthers 17
“Pete Prisco on why he has the Falcons taking down the Panthers on the road, 21-17.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-3
skill:
0
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
31
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Raiders 16
“Pete Prisco on why he has the Chargers bouncing back against the Raiders, 24-16.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 20.2+39.34 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-14
skill:
39.34
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
20.2
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Broncos 20
“Pete Prisco on why he likes Jacksonville to pull off the 23-20 upset in Denver.”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 82.1-80.76 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-20
skill:
-80.76
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
82.1
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?

Prisco picks final scores for every Week 2 NFL game, with several teams that lost in Week 1 — the Chargers, Patriots, Cowboys, Packers and Rams — bouncing back, and the Bills outlasting the Lions in a shootout.15 graded calls · Sep 18, 2026

Seattle Seahawks 19 — Cardinals 13
“Pick: Seahawks 19, Cardinals 13”
Close · 57Scored 57.14a naive guess scored 0+110.86 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-7
skill:
110.86
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
57.14
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
24
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 29 — Dolphins 10
“Pick: 49ers 29, Dolphins 10”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 50+83.14 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-35
skill:
83.14
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
19
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys 31 — Commanders 24
“Pick: Cowboys 31, Commanders 24”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 58.29+34.72 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-37
skill:
34.72
they picked:
DAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
58.29
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 30 — Browns 10
“Pick: Buccaneers 30, Browns 10”
Miss · 12Scored 11.9a naive guess scored 39.25-53.04 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-19
skill:
-53.04
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
11.9
baseline:
39.25
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
20
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 27 — Jets 20
“Pick: Packers 27, Jets 20”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 41.63+94.76 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-17
skill:
94.76
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
41.63
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 14
“This is a low-scoring game with the Pats winning it. Pick: Patriots 21, Steelers 14”
Close · 76Scored 76.19a naive guess scored 58.29+34.72 skill
How this was scored
score:
3-20
skill:
34.72
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
76.19
baseline:
58.29
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons 21 — Panthers 17
“Pick: Falcons 21, Panthers 17”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-3
skill:
0
they picked:
ATL
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
31
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Broncos 20
“Pick: Jaguars 23, Broncos 20”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 82.1-80.76 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-20
skill:
-80.76
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
82.1
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 28 — Bengals 23
“Pick: Texans 28, Bengals 23”
Miss · 29Scored 28.57a naive guess scored 15.44+25.48 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-6
skill:
25.48
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
28.57
baseline:
15.44
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 33 — Saints 20
“Pick: Ravens 33, Saints 20”
Miss · 36Scored 35.71a naive guess scored 32.1+7 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-17
skill:
7
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
35.71
baseline:
32.1
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers 24 — Raiders 16
“Pick: Chargers 24, Raiders 16”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 20.2+39.34 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-14
skill:
39.34
they picked:
LAC
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
20.2
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
12
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears 30 — Vikings 24
“Pick: Bears 30, Vikings 24”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 34.49+30.1 skill
How this was scored
score:
9-3
skill:
30.1
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
34.49
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles 30 — Titans 13
“Pick: Eagles 30, Titans 13”
Close · 69Scored 69.05a naive guess scored 39.25+57.81 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-20
skill:
57.81
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
69.05
baseline:
39.25
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 30 — Giants 14
“Pick: Rams 30, Giants 14”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 50+69.29 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-28
skill:
69.29
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.19
predicted margin:
16
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Colts 17
“Pick: Chiefs 27, Colts 17”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.63-16.09 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-33
skill:
-16.09
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.63
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?