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Russell Baxter· Nov 7, 2026

Predicts the Seahawks beat the Cardinals 26-21 in Week 9, with Seattle's pass rush making Gardner Minshew uncomfortable.

“Seattle makes it 11 in a row in the series but will struggle this time around compared to their 24-point victory in Week 2.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 78.6 out of 100, against 67 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks 26 — Cardinals 21

    “Russell Baxter: Seahawks 26, Cardinals 21”

    Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 66.97+18.1 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    3-17
    skill:
    18.1
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    66.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    5

    Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5, total 39.5 · this 26–21 calls a closer game (Seahawks by 5) and more points (47).

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