Blaine GrisakOct 21, 2026
Grisak argues Josh Downs is the wide receiver trade target that makes the most sense for the Rams, predicting the Colts would move them for roughly a fourth- or fifth-round pick and that they would fill a No. 2 receiver role in Los Angeles rather than a WR1 role.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Blaine Grisak said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIn all likelihood, the Colts may part ways with Downs for the equivalent of a fourth or fifth-round pick.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Rams Expected to Explore Wide Receiver Trade, and One Target Makes Too Much Sense
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 21
- GradedNov 11
- 1Josh Downs to move — “the Colts may part ways with Downs for the equivalent of a fourth or fifth-round pick”“In all likelihood, the Colts may part ways with Downs for the equivalent of a fourth or fifth-round pick. That's more affordable given the Rams' draft capital.”
- 2Josh Downs to be 2nd on the depth chart“Downs isn't going to be a WR1 in an offense, but he can slide into a WR2 role and that's what the Rams need.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Downs to move — “the Colts may part ways with Downs for the equivalent of a fourth or fifth-round pick”1 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +167 | |
| Josh Downs to be 2nd on the depth chart2 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting | 100 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Trade and Signing CallsJosh Downs
Josh Downs to move — “the Colts may part ways with Downs for the equivalent of a fourth or fifth-round pick”
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.67difficulty=+167skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 167
- player:
- Josh Downs
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- IND
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- reported:
- traded → KC
- settled by:
- a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
2Depth Chart CallsJosh DownsLos Angeles Rams
Josh Downs to be 2nd on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Noah Compton · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Compton expects the rebuilding Colts to keep dealing veterans before the November 10 deadline, naming Jonathan Taylor, Josh Downs and Grover Stewart as the likeliest remaining trade candidates, and believes Indianapolis should and likely will move on from quarterback Daniel Jones, while Shane Steichen keeps starting Jones in the meantime.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.Joshua Poniatowski · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Poniatowski names several trade targets, predicting Malik Willis underperforms this week against New England, that Omarion Hampton could become a viable RB2 if Adam Gase takes over play-calling, that Josh Downs gets traded (ideally to Kansas City, where they'd be a top-24 WR), that Brian Thomas Jr. could be dealt to the Rams or 49ers, and that Travis Kelce remains a consistent weekly TE.Adam Schefter · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Schefter, as relayed on the show, said they expect Josh Downs to be traded.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.