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Adam SchefterOct 29, 2026

Schefter, as relayed on the show, said they expect Josh Downs to be traded.

Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Trade and Signing CallsThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+161Skillafter difficulty

What Adam Schefter said

Adam Schefter, I think it was, on McAfee had said that he expects him to be traded.
Our reading: Josh Downs to move — “expects him to be traded”
The episode
Week 8 WR Rankings & Tiers: Fantasy Football Starts, Sleepers & Breakout Picks (Ep. 2300)
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidOct 29
  2. GradedNov 11

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Trade and Signing CallsJosh Downs

    Josh Downs to move — “expects him to be traded”

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.61difficulty+161skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    161
    player:
    Josh Downs
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he leaves
    was with:
    IND
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    reported:
    traded → KC
    how he left:
    traded
    mechanism:
    traded
    settled by:
    a confirmed report from the crawl (reported outcomes)
    difficulty:
    1.61
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    11
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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