Blaine Grisak· Oct 9, 2026
Grisak expects the Rams to lose to the Bills on Monday night, dropping to 2-3, before getting right against the Cardinals in Week 6. He also expects Myles Garrett back more realistically in Week 7 against the Raiders and Terrance Ferguson back in Week 8 against the Chargers, and thinks Aaron Donald and Colby Parkinson will be available against Buffalo.
“A loss to the Bills isn’t the worst thing. That would put the Rams at 2-3 with two of their three losses against AFC opponents.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 4 availability calls and 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The games in this take
- Bills at Rams 41 calls
- Cardinals at Rams 16 calls
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsOct 9, 2026
Buffalo Bills to beat Rams
“2. Rams Lose to Bills Before Going on a Winning Streak ... A loss to the Bills isn’t the worst thing. That would put the Rams at 2-3”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+178 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 37-34
- skill:
- 178
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LAR
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5 · underdog pick, Bills 38%.
“Defensive lineman Aaron Donald was limited on Thursday, but was a full participant on Friday. The same can be said about tight end Colby Parkinson. The Rams will be glad to have both players back against the Bills.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“the Rams remain hopeful that Garrett will return next week, but Week 7 against the Las Vegas Raiders is more realistic.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 9, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to beat Cardinals
“The Rams can ‘get right’ against the Cardinals in Week 6 and then the schedule lightens up.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“Ferguson will have to miss four games, which would put his return in Week 8 against the Chargers... it doesn’t seem like Ferguson will miss any more time beyond that.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“The Rams will be glad to have both players back against the Bills.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 48Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Bills in the Week 5 Monday night game, projecting a 28-24 final score as Los Angeles' Nacua-Adams-Williams trio proves too much for Buffalo's defense.
- John GreenGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Green argues the Bills will beat the Rams on Monday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, citing Josh Allen's career success against Los Angeles, James Cook III's rushing against a middling Rams run defense, and Buffalo's edge in special teams field position.
- Anthony "Tone Digz" DiGuilioGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night because of their defense.
- Darius ButlerGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Said Brian Flores could be Coach of the Year for what he is doing with the Vikings defense, and picked the Rams to beat the Bills on Monday night with Stafford outplaying Josh Allen.
- Pat McAfeeGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Picked the Rams to beat the Bills in the Monday night game at SoFi Stadium.
- AJ HawkGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Took the Rams over the Bills on Monday night, saying they win by seven in a high-scoring quarterback duel.
More availability calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Josh AlperAvailability Calls · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaPendingAlper reports the Seahawks' injury designations and notes that, with no designations listed, Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Leonard Williams are on track to play Thursday night against the Broncos.
- Garrett PodellAvailability Calls · Joey Porter Jr.PendingPodell states that cornerback Joey Porter Jr., recovered from illness and more comfortable in the playbook, will be a full-time starter for Dallas in their Week 6 Sunday night game at Green Bay.
- Josh AlperAvailability Calls · Michael Penix Jr.PendingAlper suggests Michael Penix's full participation in Wednesday's practice indicates he will be healthy enough to start for the Falcons in their Week 6 game against the Bears.
- Rich HribarAvailability Calls · Bud DupreePendingPreviewing the Week 6 Chargers-Chiefs matchup, Hribar expects three Chargers defenders — Derwin James, Donte Jackson and Bud Dupree — to be sidelined for the game.
- John ShipleyAvailability Calls · Montaric BrownPendingPreviewing the Jaguars-Texans matchup, Shipley expects Montaric Brown to be unavailable, leaving Travis Hunter and Jarrian Jones as Jacksonville's two starting cornerbacks tasked with handling Nico Collins.
- Jerry MarkarianAvailability Calls · Khalil MackPendingMarkarian argues the Bears should trade for Khalil Mack, predicting Mack would immediately become Chicago's top edge rusher, wouldn't play against Atlanta but could contribute in Week 7 versus New England, and that the Bears will cut Montez Sweat next offseason to save $21 million.