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AJ Hawk appears on The Pat McAfee Show, where predictions cover game outcomes, conference champions and player availability across the NFL. The calls have touched teams including the Packers, Bills, Ravens, Cowboys and Seahawks.
Across 13 graded calls in 10 articles, AJ Hawk scores 37.5% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -4.1, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #71 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 16 calls · one square per call
6hits46% of graded
1Close8%
6misses46%
3
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
AJ Hawk appears on The Pat McAfee Show, where predictions cover game outcomes, conference champions and player availability across the NFL. The calls have touched teams including the Packers, Bills, Ravens, Cowboys and Seahawks.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
13 graded calls in 10 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from AJ Hawk, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy AJ Hawk would be #77; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #71.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | Jonas Knox | 0.9 | 62.95% | 58 |
| 70 | Eric Moody | -3.54 | 34.12% | 39 |
| 71 | AJ Hawk | -4.1 | 37.5% | 13 |
| 72 | Nathan Jahnke | -4.33 | 69.01% | 69 |
| 73 | Joe Pisapia | -5.61 | 73.61% | 20 |
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“I think Seahawks win, but I'm taking the Cardinals.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets
“I like the Chiefs to win here, but give me the Jets minus nine or plus nine and a half.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders
“I do not like the niners on this one. I like them to win, but 10 points is a lot. Give me the Raiders.”
Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Ravens
“I gotta take the Jaguars on the road. I think they find a way probably win by 17 points.”
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears
“I think this will be Seattle weather tonight. That defense will roll, and I think Sam Dornan will do just enough to get the win, by probably about six points. So give me the Seahawks minus three at home.”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Philadelphia Eagles
“Give me the Cowboys on the road minus four and a half. I think they win by seven or more.”
Closing line (Oct 26): Cowboys by 4.5 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
New England Patriots to beat Chicago Bears
“AJ, who do you like? The Patriots, I absolutely love the New England Patriots tonight.”
Closing line (Oct 22): Bears by 3 · underdog pick, Patriots 42%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Denver Broncos
“I am taking the Seattle Seahawks minus two and a half on the road. I think they win by seven or 10.”
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bills
“I chose the Rams before we did break. I'm not gonna walk away. Definitely still am taking the Rams. I think they win by seven.”
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%.
Carolina Panthers to beat Chicago Bears
“I like Carolina here. I like Carolina to probably win this one outright”
Closing line (Sep 13): Bears by 3 · underdog pick, Panthers 40%.