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Pat McAfee hosts The Pat McAfee Show, where predictions range from game outcomes and player awards to contracts and playoff berths. The calls recorded here touch on the Steelers, Packers, Bills, Ravens, Colts and others, with players from Lamar Jackson to Brock Purdy to Mike Evans getting named. Guests like Nick Saban, JJ Watt and Kirk Herbstreit drop in; the picks come along the way.
More about Pat McAfee ↓Writes at The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)
Across 6 graded calls in 5 articles, Pat McAfee scores 60% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 8.8, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 18 calls · one square per call
4hits67% of graded
2misses33%
12waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Pat McAfee hosts The Pat McAfee Show, where predictions range from game outcomes and player awards to contracts and playoff berths. The calls recorded here touch on the Steelers, Packers, Bills, Ravens, Colts and others, with players from Lamar Jackson to Brock Purdy to Mike Evans getting named. Guests like Nick Saban, JJ Watt and Kirk Herbstreit drop in; the picks come along the way.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
6 graded calls in 5 articles, newest first. Every take from Pat McAfee, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Cleveland Browns to beat Saints
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Pat McAfee isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“I'll take Shador Sanders getting a win over the Saints in New Orleans.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5 · underdog pick, Browns about 1 in 3 (34%).
Green Bay Packers to beat Panthers
“So I'm also going with the Packers... Chuck, AJ, and myself will take the Packers at home.”
Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Packers 63%.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bills
“I, I like the Rams. Sounds like Debutts does as well.”
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%.
New England Patriots to beat Broncos
“I just like the patriots defense as well. I'll take the patriots”
Closing line (Jan 25): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots about 2 in 3 (64%).
Matthew Stafford to win MVP
“At the end of this one, he's gonna walk up on the stage at the honors whether he's playing in Super Bowl or not playing in Super Bowl, and probably thank everybody that has ever gone into working with him throughout his entire career... as his first time MVP winner.”
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears
“I'll take the Bears plus four and a half. That doesn't mean they're gonna win, I don't think. I think the Rams put a close one.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (64%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.