Jared Dubin

Jared Dubin covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing weekly picks columns and diving into roster questions across the league. His work spans game predictions, division races, and player evaluations—from Aaron Donald's return to the Rams to Marvin Harrison Jr.'s role in Arizona.

Writes at CBS Sports

Every take from Jared Dubin, including the ones still waiting →

Is Jared Dubin accurate? Across 45 graded calls in 20 articles, Jared Dubin scores 49.4% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 2.01, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

49.4%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

2.01

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 20 articles. 51 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

95.74% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Score Predictions38 graded49.21 accuracy
Game Outcome Picks6 graded66.67 accuracy

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

earliest callscareer avg 55 ┄latest form: 48

Graded calls · 45

16 of 20 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 2.

Dubin picked the Eagles to win at Chicago 23-10 on Monday night.Sep 28, 2026
- Philadelphia Eagles 23 — Bears 10
  “Jared Dubin's pick: Eagles 23-10 over Bears”
  Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 54.46-39.94 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  7-27
  skill:
  -39.94
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  33.33
  baseline:
  54.46
  difficulty:
  1.89
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  20
  weeks left when called:
  16

Dubin gave final-score predictions for the same eight Week 3 games, picking the Packers, Bengals, Jaguars, Texans, Vikings, Ravens, Rams and Eagles.8 graded calls · Sep 24, 2026

Houston Texans 20 — Colts 16
“Prediction: Texans 20, Colts 16”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 96.35-96.61 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
-96.61
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 31 — Cowboys 27
“Prediction: Ravens 31, Cowboys 27”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 43.97+101.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
101.39
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
43.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 23 — Falcons 13
“Prediction: Packers 23, Falcons 13”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 0+45 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-14
skill:
45
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
-0.45
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles 23 — Bears 10
“But they're still going to win it. Prediction: Eagles 23, Bears 10”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 54.46-39.94 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-27
skill:
-39.94
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
54.46
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
20
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
13
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 24 — Broncos 17
“Prediction : Rams 24, Broncos 17”
Close · 43Scored 42.86a naive guess scored 91.59-92.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-30
skill:
-92.11
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
42.86
baseline:
91.59
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings 23 — Buccaneers 17
“Prediction: Vikings 23, Buccaneers 17”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 34.45+119.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-16
skill:
119.39
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
34.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 17
“I think they rediscover some of that here and take care of the Patriots at home. Prediction: Jaguars 23, Patriots 17”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-35
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
29
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 24 — Steelers 10
“Prediction: Bengals 24, Steelers 10”
Miss · 24Scored 23.81a naive guess scored 93.97-132.61 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-30
skill:
-132.61
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
23.81
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
14
Think this grade is wrong?

Dubin gives winners and scores for the same seven games, favoring the Bills, Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Broncos, Chiefs and Rams, though he expects several of them to stay close.7 graded calls · Sep 17, 2026

New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 13
“Prediction: Patriots 21, Steelers 13”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 58.29+39.34 skill
How this was scored
score:
3-20
skill:
39.34
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
58.29
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 21 — Colts 17
“Prediction: Chiefs 21, Colts 17”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 91.63+11.62 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-33
skill:
11.62
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
91.63
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Giants 17
“Prediction: Rams 27, Giants 17”
Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 50+41.57 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-28
skill:
41.57
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
71.43
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.19
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 35 — Lions 31
“Prediction: Bills 35, Lions 31”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 79.41+12.23 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-41
skill:
12.23
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
79.41
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
1.35
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 27 — Saints 20
“Prediction: Ravens 27, Saints 20”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 32.1+34.72 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-17
skill:
34.72
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
32.1
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 26 — Bengals 24
“Prediction: Texans 26, Bengals 24”
Miss · 21Scored 21.43a naive guess scored 15.44+11.62 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-6
skill:
11.62
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
21.43
baseline:
15.44
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
2
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos 24 — Jaguars 21
“Prediction: Broncos 24, Jaguars 21”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 82.1+16.24 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-20
skill:
16.24
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
82.1
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?