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Jared Dubin covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing on game picks, trades and roster moves across the league. The predictions here touch the Bills, Ravens, 49ers, Packers and Cowboys, among others, and include player-level calls on Ja'Marr Chase, Nico Collins and Anthony Richardson.
Across 132 graded calls in 61 articles, Jared Dubin scores 53.97% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 8.87, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles. That ranks #60 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Game Outcome Picks (61.54% accuracy across 13 graded calls); their weakest is Score Predictions (54.61% across 118 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 222 calls · one square per call
46hits35% of graded
45Close34%
41misses31%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Jared Dubin covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing on game picks, trades and roster moves across the league. The predictions here touch the Bills, Ravens, 49ers, Packers and Cowboys, among others, and include player-level calls on Ja'Marr Chase, Nico Collins and Anthony Richardson.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
132 graded calls in 61 articles, newest first — page 1 of 5. Every take from Jared Dubin, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
90waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Jared Dubin would be #60; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #60.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | Chris Simms | 9.74 | 56.77% | 98 |
| 59 | Bill Huber | 9.49 | 77.48% | 82 |
| 60 | Jared Dubin | 8.87 | 53.97% | 132 |
| 61 | Jack Markowski | 8.5 | 70% | 16 |
| 62 | Mitchell Eisenstein | 7.98 | 58.64% | 110 |
New York Giants 20 — Commanders 14
“Jared Dubin's pick: Giants 20-14 over Commanders”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Giants win (by 6) and fewer points (34).
New York Giants 20 — Commanders 14
“Prediction: Giants 20, Commanders 14”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Giants win (by 6) and fewer points (34).
New York Giants 20 — Commanders 14
“Prediction: Giants 20, Commanders 14”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Giants win (by 6) and fewer points (34).
Buffalo Bills 20 — Vikings 14
“Jared Dubin's pick: Bills 20-14 over Vikings”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3, total 45.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Bills win (by 6) and fewer points (34).
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
“Jared Dubin: Bills”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
Buffalo Bills 20 — Vikings 14
“Buffalo can win a low-ish scoring game here by doing just that. Prediction: Bills 20, Vikings 14”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3, total 45.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Bills win (by 6) and fewer points (34).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Jared Dubin: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Green Bay Packers 26 — Patriots 20
“Jared Dubin — Packers (+3) 26-20 over Patriots. From Dubin: "Green Bay's defense has been excellent for several weeks now..."”
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 26–20 calls a Packers win (by 6; the line gave the Packers 38%) and more points (46). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Ravens 6
“Jared Dubin's pick: Jaguars 27-6 over Ravens”
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 27–6 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 21) and fewer points (33).