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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.42% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 15 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
801–825 of 2,307
22 / 2,307
graded
2,285 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 12 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 19 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 10 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 17 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Isaiah Likely to record 700 receiving yards
Likely is projected to see around 65-70 receptions or more, while accumulating 700 yards.
George Kittle to be 1st on the depth chart
Kittle looks to be shaping up as the Week 1 starter, so Tonges is definitely more of a stash in deeper leagues.
George KittleSan Francisco 49ers
Juwan Johnson to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
Should he see an increase in receptions in the endzone, we are easily looking at a top-five finish for Johnson.
Juwan JohnsonNew Orleans Saints
Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (currently being drafted as the 16th tight end)
His ADP absolutely warrant a sleeper tag as well, especially in smaller leagues. Juwan Johnson is currently being drafted as the 16th tight end in PPR leagues.
Juwan JohnsonNew Orleans Saints
Jake Ferguson to outplay his draft cost (Ferguson isn’t even being drafted in 10-team leagues)
Jake Ferguson is going completely overlooked based on current ADP, which makes him one of the easiest players to add to our recommendations as a sleeper going into the upcoming season.
Isaiah Likely to record 65–70 receptions
Likely is projected to see around 65-70 receptions or more, while accumulating 700 yards.
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (Likely is currently the 12th tight-end going off the board)
With the increase in playing time, targets, and opportunity, Likely could be a very valuable sleeper in 2026-27.
Isaiah Likely to be 1st on the depth chart
Likely will be the top option at tight-end this season, after splitting time with Mark Andrews the last four years.
Chig Okonkwo to outplay his draft cost (If you choose to wait on tight ends to the very end of your draft)
Chig Okonkwo will be donning a different uniform this season, and with that, could be in line for a much more productive season than expected... Okonkwo makes for a solid add, especially in 12-team leagues or larger.
Chig OkonkwoWashington Commanders
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
Don’t be surprised if Brooks takes the starting role from Chuba Hubbard sooner than later, especially with the veteran missing time with a hamstring injury.
Zay Flowers to be 1st on the depth chart
Baltimore made several changes to their receiving corps this offseason. Yet, Flowers’ role as the clear-cut No. 1 option in the passing game remains unchallenged.
Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn)
Harold Fannin is coming off the board around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn... there are some gems to be mined at tight end in the middle rounds.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (the first four rounds)
There are three tight ends guaranteed to land in the first four rounds: Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, and Colston Loveland. I'm willing to draft Bowers and Loveland at cost, but not McBride.
Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a late-third-round ADP)
Under no circumstances will I draft a quarterback in the first four rounds of a 1QB league... Allen has a late-third-round ADP. He's being drafted just ahead of Ladd McConkey.
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (a late-eighth-round ADP)
Brock Purdy has a late-eighth-round ADP... I would rather have a Brock Purdy/Ladd McConkey combo than a Josh Allen/Michael Wilson combo.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)
Justin Herbert has an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round... the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.
Jerry Jeudy to fall short of his draft cost (the late rounds)
But there is no reason to draft Jeudy in 2026. The Browns just spent early-round draft picks on WRs KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a midrange or low-end RB2)
Judkins is being drafted as a midrange or low-end RB2... the constraints of the Cleveland offense will almost certainly limit his touchdowns and hinder his efficiency. Quinshon Judkins looks like a volume trap.
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (the sixth round of 12-team drafts)
On a recent podcast, I touted Packers WR Christian Watson as a high-upside player worth pursuing... Risk aversion typically drops Watson into the sixth round of 12-team drafts. That's appealing value
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn)
Trevor Lawrence has an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn... The middle rounds are loaded with quality fantasy quarterbacks.
Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)
The much-maligned Kyle Pitts is being drafted in the seventh round... the tight ends in Stefanski's Cleveland offenses averaged 164.3 targets over the last three seasons.
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP)
Tucker Kraft has a sixth-round ADP... should be a key contributor to the Green Bay passing game.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP of WR12 (30th overall))
Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I'm fleeing at that price.
Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
Maye should be considered a strong top-five fantasy quarterback option with the ability to push Josh Allen for the QB1 spot if everything goes his way in 2026.
Dak Prescott to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Prescott is a locked-in QB1 that could be a top-five option if they can put more touchdowns in the end zone in 2026.