Skip to main content

Pat Fitzmaurice#8 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 30, 2026

FantasyPros' Fitz lays out their 2026 draft strategy, fading early-round quarterbacks (Josh Allen) and Trey McBride, warning off Quinshon Judkins as a volume trap and Jerry Jeudy entirely, while touting middle-round QBs (Purdy, Herbert, Lawrence), tight ends (Kraft, Fannin, Pitts) and Packers WR Christian Watson as values.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

Waiting11 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 11Settled11 still waiting
#8Pat Fitzmaurice’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pat Fitzmaurice said

Quinshon Judkins looks like a volume trap.
Pat Fitzmaurice, the lead quote
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
Fantasy Football Draft Advice: Expert Strategy for 2026
The original
Read the original

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Sleeper Calls0007
Fantasy Bust Calls0004
All00011

How each call scored

11 checkable claims — 7 sleeper calls and 4 fantasy bust calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Sleeper Calls7 waitingShow ▸
  1. Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (a late-eighth-round ADP)

    “Brock Purdy has a late-eighth-round ADP... I would rather have a Brock Purdy/Ladd McConkey combo than a Josh Allen/Michael Wilson combo.”

    Brock Purdy

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP)

    “Tucker Kraft has a sixth-round ADP... should be a key contributor to the Green Bay passing game.”

    Tucker KraftGreen Bay Packers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)

    “Justin Herbert has an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round... the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.”

    Justin Herbert

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn)

    “Trevor Lawrence has an ADP of QB10 and is coming off the board around the seventh-round/eighth-round turn... The middle rounds are loaded with quality fantasy quarterbacks.”

    Trevor Lawrence

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn)

    “Harold Fannin is coming off the board around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn... there are some gems to be mined at tight end in the middle rounds.”

    Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)

    “The much-maligned Kyle Pitts is being drafted in the seventh round... the tight ends in Stefanski's Cleveland offenses averaged 164.3 targets over the last three seasons.”

    Kyle PittsAtlanta Falcons

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (the sixth round of 12-team drafts)

    “On a recent podcast, I touted Packers WR Christian Watson as a high-upside player worth pursuing... Risk aversion typically drops Watson into the sixth round of 12-team drafts. That's appealing value”

    Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Fantasy Bust Calls4 waitingShow ▸
  1. Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a midrange or low-end RB2)

    “Judkins is being drafted as a midrange or low-end RB2... the constraints of the Cleveland offense will almost certainly limit his touchdowns and hinder his efficiency. Quinshon Judkins looks like a volume trap.”

    Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (the first four rounds)

    “There are three tight ends guaranteed to land in the first four rounds: Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, and Colston Loveland. I'm willing to draft Bowers and Loveland at cost, but not McBride.”

    Trey McBride

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a late-third-round ADP)

    “Under no circumstances will I draft a quarterback in the first four rounds of a 1QB league... Allen has a late-third-round ADP. He's being drafted just ahead of Ladd McConkey.”

    Josh Allen

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Jerry Jeudy to fall short of his draft cost (the late rounds)

    “But there is no reason to draft Jeudy in 2026. The Browns just spent early-round draft picks on WRs KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.”

    Jerry JeudyCleveland Browns

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More sleeper calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.