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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
95.2% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where First Things First (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 11 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
451–475 of 574
277 / 574
graded
297 still pending
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
Number two pick, Arbel Reese, linebacker, Ohio State, maybe the best defensive player in the draft.
David Bailey to be picked at number 8
I think the best pure pass rusher in the draft, David Bailey... David Bailey to the Saints.
Monroe Freeling to be picked “first-round pick” (picks 1–32)
Get the get Wilds guy, Bryce Young, some offensive line help with Monroe Freeland ... Out of Georgia.
Emmanuel Pregnon to be picked at number 22
So they take one of the top interior offensive linemen Pregnant out of Oregon at 22.
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 pick to the Cardinals” (picks 1–10)
Now the Cardinals, once upon a time, picked a linebacker in the top 10... I think Sonny Styles potentially goes there.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “to Tennessee at No. 4”
He's gonna go to Tennessee... Jeremiah Love to the Titans is a pick a lot of people see coming.
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6
Number six to the Browns... Maunoga, I apologize if I mispronounced your last name, young man, out of Miami, the star right tackle
Cade McDonald to be picked at number 21
the Steelers... on the board at twenty one... So I think Caden McDonald
Omar Cooper to be picked “Eagles' first-round pick (trade)” (picks 1–32)
The Eagles, I believe, anticipating an AJ Brown trade, end up trading for Omar Cooper, the national champion out of Indiana.
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
If he wins the job, which I believe we all agree, he would win the job if even if they said it was a competition, he wins the job... But he's not going to beat out Kyler Murray if the... If the if the Viking's going.
Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards
If Mike Evans stays healthy, he tops a thousand yards Wow. This year. Absolutely. ... Mike Evans is gonna get a thousand yards.
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
Michael Pennicks junior, if he if he's able to get healthy, come back off this injury... they're gonna give him the runway.
Mike Evans to record 10 receiving tds
I think he has a lot of touchdowns. I would not be surprised if he has double digit touchdowns. ... but 10 or 11 touchdowns.
A.J. Brown to move to New England Patriots
the next move will be in June. Call it. Just some some salary cap stuff with AJ Brown. June. ... what you said about still thinking you getting AJ Brown
Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart
he's a he's a legit number two in which you need in a stellar offense... for me, he's a serviceable receiver... he's not a 32 year old receiver where acts to be a legit number two.
Jared Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
I think Jared Wilson's just gonna slide over. He's gonna he's gonna slide over. He's gonna be the center.
Trey Hendrickson to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers
I think he's gonna go to Tampa
Kevin Byard to move
Kobe Bryant, nice player, but it means they're gonna lose Bayard.
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
The only guy I felt like I could put above him was Fernando Mendoza, who's gonna be the number one pick to the Raiders.
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
Even though I think he would win a competition with Tua, it's a new coach, it's a new GM
Jaquan Brisker to move
It means they're gonna lose Brisker.
Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards
But I I tend to agree with you that I would think he's gonna get there.
Stefon Diggs to move
Stefon Diggs might get a little bit older and get worse. ... Gonna be gone, I think. I don't even I mean, he's free agent.
Jaylen Watson to move
I think Jalen Watson's a really good player, one of the best corners available. He's not gonna be back with Kansas City, I don't think.
Tua Tagovailoa to be 2nd on the depth chart
you can't you can't rely on him, his size, the odds. Be a number two that can win you two or three games in the end of the season.