Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Mar 10, 2026
Parkins predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Trey Hendrickson signs in Tampa, Michael Penix Jr. wins Atlanta's QB competition, Jared Wilson takes over at center in New England, Mike Evans reaches 1,000 yards, and the Bears lose Byard and Brisker.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Danny Parkins said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromThe only guy I felt like I could put above him was Fernando Mendoza, who's gonna be the number one pick to the Raiders.
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- Ravens ’S.B.o.B’, Geno Smith traded to Jets, Ken Rosenthal joins, Top 10 Free Agency Edition
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 10
- GradedAug 13
- 1Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“The only guy I felt like I could put above him was Fernando Mendoza, who's gonna be the number one pick to the Raiders.”
- 2Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards“But I I tend to agree with you that I would think he's gonna get there.”
- 3Jared Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart“I think Jared Wilson's just gonna slide over. He's gonna he's gonna slide over. He's gonna be the center.”
- 4Trey Hendrickson to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers“I think he's gonna go to Tampa”
- 5Kevin Byard to move“Kobe Bryant, nice player, but it means they're gonna lose Bayard.”
- 6Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart“Even though I think he would win a competition with Tua, it's a new coach, it's a new GM”
- 7Jaquan Brisker to move“It means they're gonna lose Brisker.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 11 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards2 | Player Season Numbers | — | — | — | — | |
| Jared Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Trey Hendrickson to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers4 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Kevin Byard to move5 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart6 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jaquan Brisker to move7 | Trade and Signing Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 7 calls · 1 hit · 6 waiting | 100 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive7 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls, 2 depth chart calls, 1 mock draft pick and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 2.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Michael Penix Jr. · 2026 season17 calls from 16 pundits between 1 and 1. Danny Parkins said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
2Player Season NumbersMike EvansSan Francisco 49ers
Mike Evans to record 1,000 receiving yards
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
3Depth Chart CallsJared WilsonNew England Patriots
Jared Wilson to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Trade and Signing CallsTrey HendricksonTampa Bay Buccaneers
Trey Hendrickson to move to Tampa Bay Buccaneers
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Trade and Signing CallsKevin Byard
Kevin Byard to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
6Depth Chart CallsMichael Penix Jr.Atlanta Falcons
Michael Penix Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
7Trade and Signing CallsJaquan Brisker
Jaquan Brisker to move
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be the No. 1 overall pick and land with the Raiders, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta.JP Acosta · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Acosta expects John Harbaugh's Giants to jump to roughly seven wins in year one, and forecast several offseason moves: Aaron Rodgers returning to Pittsburgh, Daniel Jones returning to the Colts, Kirk Cousins being released by Atlanta, and Brandon Aiyuk leaving San Francisco.Gregg Rosenthal · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Rosenthal gave their award ballot: Drake May atop their MVP list (though they expect Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. They also expect Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.Brandon Carney · Trade and Signing Calls · Mike Evans · Miss 0
Carney predicts Geno Smith signs with the Vikings and starts for them, that at least four of the fringe veteran quarterbacks (Tua, Kyler, Cousins, Fields, Geno) will be starters next season, and that Mike Evans stays with Tampa Bay. They also rank their top fantasy wide receivers and comments on running back landing spots and trade values.
More trade and signing calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.Patricia Traina · Trade and Signing Calls · J.J. McCarthy · Hit 100
Traina expects defensive tackle to be a top need for the Giants in next year's draft, and suggests the Giants could trade J.J. McCarthy next offseason — or keep both them and Jaxson Dart if the return isn't good enough. They also expect Dart to make a full recovery.Michael David Smith · Trade and Signing Calls · Keenan Allen · Hit 100
Smith suggests the Colts are likely to grant Josh Downs' trade request given their contract situation and their recent sell-off, and that they could also try to trade Keenan Allen.