Raiders 38, Jets 33: Seven of 12 Pundits Sided With the Winning Road Team
Drafted by a language model from MissedTakes' graded data, then reviewed and approved by Ben Garves before publishing. How our posts are made
The Las Vegas Raiders beat the New York Jets 38-33 in Week 8. The 12 pundits who made a winner pick split 7 for the Raiders and 5 for the Jets. Across 13 graded calls on the game, accuracy averaged 67. Three pundits also named a final score, and none of them came within two points of the real margin except one.
How did pundits split on Raiders-Jets?
Seven of the 12 pundits who made a winner pick sided with the Raiders, who were coming off a four-game losing streak according to Ezekiel Trezevant's preview; the other 5 took the Jets at home. The Raiders won by 5, so the majority of the field called it correctly. Picking the home Jets was the zero-credit pick on this game, so every pundit who took Las Vegas and was right earned a positive MissedTakes Score for beating that pick.
Which pundits called the Raiders right?
Six pundits picked Las Vegas to win outright and each scored a MissedTakes Score of 161 with full accuracy, since picking the road winner beat picking the home Jets by the widest margin the grading allows for a straight winner call.
| Pundit | What they said (date) | MissedTakes Score |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Broussard | "The Raiders are beating the Jets. I'm sorry... But the Raiders are definitely beating the Jets." (Oct 30) | 161 |
| Connor Rogers | "I'm gonna pick the Raiders to win. It is very simple for me." (Oct 30) | 161 |
| Tyler Sullivan | "...roll into MetLife Stadium and pull off the upset." (Oct 29) | 161 |
| Ezekiel Trezevant | "...they should beat the Jets on Sunday." (Oct 28) | 161 |
| Richard Sherman | "...give me Las Vegas in this one." (Oct 28) | 161 |
| Mitchell Eisenstein | "The Raiders, they're due for a win. Give me the Raiders on the road." (Oct 28) | 161 |
John Breech went further and put a score on it: "Raiders 20, Jets 17," published Oct 29. That works out to a 3-point Raiders margin against a final margin of 5, missed by 2 points, closer than anyone else who named a score. Breech's call scored 95.24 accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 90.18, since picking the correct winner on the road adds to the credit a score call can earn.
Which score calls missed the final margin?
Pete Prisco had the widest miss among the three pundits who posted a score: "Jets win it. Pick: Jets 27, Raiders 16," on Oct 28. That call took the Jets by 11 points; the Raiders won by 5, a 16-point miss, and it scored 35.71 accuracy with a MissedTakes Score of -5.65. Chris Simms also took New York, "I'm gonna take the Jets 24 to 20," on Oct 30, projecting a 4-point Jets win that missed the final margin by 9 points; his call scored 47.62 accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 13.52, positive despite picking the losing side.
On the winner-only side, Pardon My Take picked the Jets on Oct 30 ("I I hate that I'm taking the Jets in this game") and scored zero. Two earlier calls on New York, from Nick Faria on Oct 12 and Ralph Vacchiano back on Sept 29, also scored zero accuracy; both were made well before kickoff and both had the Jets handling a game Las Vegas ended up winning.
Did this extend a run for the pundits involved?
Breech's score call sits well above his usual output: across 150 graded score predictions this season, his average MissedTakes Score is 8.4, so Saturday's 90.18 is a clear step up, built off 201 graded calls overall and a 58.47 accuracy. Broussard's correct Raiders pick stands out even more against his record: his 30 graded game outcome picks this season average a MissedTakes Score of -17.34, making the 161 he scored here far above his usual number rather than a repeat performance. Prisco's miss, by contrast, lines up with where he's been all year: his 153 graded score predictions average a MissedTakes Score of 7.65, so this call's -5.65 is a touch below normal rather than a collapse. Simms' call also beat his own typical output, averaging -14.8 across 75 graded score predictions, even though he had the wrong team winning.
What were pundits saying about these two clubs all season?
The Raiders carry 18 graded win-total calls on the season, running from Nick Wright's call of "3-14" on Sept 1 to Qiant Myers' repeated expectation of "six or seven wins," reiterated Oct 13; Dan Orlovsky called Las Vegas "a legitimate playoff team" on Oct 6. The Jets carry 13 graded win-total calls, including John Breech's own preseason number of "6-11" from Sept 7 and Nick Wright's "4-13" from Sept 2, while Nick Faria said on Sept 19 that an intact offensive line would end New York's playoff drought. None of those pundits crack the top of the overall leaderboard, which Bryan DeArdo leads with a MissedTakes Score of 80.96.