John Breech

John Breech has been covering the NFL at CBS Sports since 2011, where he writes about everything from weekly game picks to season-long playoff projections. His predictions span the league, touching on teams like the Bills, Lions, Cowboys, and Bengals, and he's a regular contributor to CBS Sports' expert picks and season previews.

Writes at CBS Sports

Every take from John Breech, including the ones still waiting →

Is John Breech accurate? Across 93 graded calls in 20 articles, John Breech scores 41.97% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -9.1, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

41.97%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-9.1

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 20 articles. 351 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

98.95% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Score Predictions57 graded41.86 accuracy
Game Outcome Picks32 graded31.55 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where John Breech keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Jacksonville Jaguars+4
Outside the room in 2 of 5 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 93

10 of 20 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 3.

Breech picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 23-16 on Monday night, and expected Jameis Winston to start at quarterback for the Giants in Week 4 against Arizona while newly acquired J.J. McCarthy gets up to speed.Sep 28, 2026
- Philadelphia Eagles 23 — Bears 16
  “John Breech's pick: Eagles 23-16 over Bears”
  Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 54.46-66.94 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  7-27
  skill:
  -66.94
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  19.05
  baseline:
  54.46
  difficulty:
  1.89
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  20

Breech predicts the Dolphins will miss the playoffs and may go winless, and picks every Week 3 game with scores, including Texans over Colts, a Buccaneers upset of Minnesota, Ravens over Cowboys in Brazil, Saints over Raiders and Broncos over Rams.16 graded calls · Sep 22, 2026

New York Giants 20 — Titans 16
“Giants 20-16 over Titans”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 89.21+15.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-12
skill:
15.89
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
89.21
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos 23 — Rams 21
“PICK: Broncos 23-21 over Rams”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 91.59+6.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-30
skill:
6.89
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
91.59
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
2
Think this grade is wrong?
Carolina Panthers 20 — Browns 17
“Panthers 20-17 over Browns”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 93.97-83.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-21
skill:
-83.11
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 31 — Jets 24
“Lions 31-24 over Jets”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 84.45+29.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-31
skill:
29.39
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
84.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 30 — Commanders 13
“Seahawks 30-13 over Commanders”
Miss · 14Scored 14.29a naive guess scored 96.35-155.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-33
skill:
-155.11
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
14.29
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans 27 — Colts 24
“PICK: Texans 27-24 over Colts”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 96.35-92.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
-92.11
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 19 — Vikings 16
“PICK: Buccaneers 19-16 over Vikings”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 34.45+11.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-16
skill:
11.39
they picked:
TB
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
34.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 34 — Cowboys 27
“PICK: Ravens 34-27 over Cowboys”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 43.97+87.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
87.89
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
43.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints 27 — Raiders 24
“PICK: Saints 27-24 over Raiders”
Miss · 38Scored 38.1a naive guess scored 32.07+11.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-27
skill:
11.39
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
38.1
baseline:
32.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 27 — Falcons 13
“Packers 27-13 over Falcons (Thursday)”
Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 0+63 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-14
skill:
63
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
-0.45
predicted margin:
14
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 34 — Chargers 24
“Bills 34-24 over Chargers”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 82.07+24.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
16-24
skill:
24.89
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
82.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 20
“Jaguars 23-20 over Patriots”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-35
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
29
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 24 — Cardinals 16
“49ers 24-16 over Cardinals”
Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 86.83+15.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-36
skill:
15.89
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
86.83
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
8
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Steelers 20
“Bengals 27-20 over Steelers”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 93.97-101.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-30
skill:
-101.11
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles 23 — Bears 16
“Eagles 23-16 over Bears (Monday)”
Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 54.46-66.94 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-27
skill:
-66.94
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
19.05
baseline:
54.46
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
20
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Dolphins 17
“Chiefs 31-17 over Dolphins”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 17.78+155.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-10
skill:
155.39
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
17.78
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
14
Think this grade is wrong?