Loading…
Loading…
John Breech covers the NFL for CBS Sports, a role Breech has held since 2011. The coverage includes game picks, playoff projections and season win totals, with regular attention to the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens and Lions.
More about John Breech ↓Writes at CBS Sports
Across 236 graded calls in 53 articles, John Breech scores 56.52% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 24.86, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles. That ranks #34 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Score Predictions (61.59% accuracy across 179 graded calls); their weakest is Game Outcome Picks (34.23% across 48 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 927 calls · one square per 5 calls
106hits45% of graded
77Close33%
53misses22%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Teams and players where John Breech keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle.
Outside the room in 2 of 11 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
John Breech covers the NFL for CBS Sports, a role Breech has held since 2011. The coverage includes game picks, playoff projections and season win totals, with regular attention to the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens and Lions.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
236 graded calls in 53 articles, newest first — page 1 of 8. Every take from John Breech, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
691waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy John Breech would be #58; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #34.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Connor Rogers | 27.12 | 72.77% | 70 |
| 33 | Alain Poupart | 24.95 | 74.14% | 102 |
| 34 | John Breech | 24.86 | 56.52% | 236 |
| 35 | Albert Breer | 23.93 | 51.64% | 56 |
| 36 | Chris Brockman | 23 | 59.62% | 286 |
Outside the room in 2 of 12 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Washington Commanders 24 — Giants 17
“John Breech's pick: Commanders 24-17 over Giants”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 24–17 calls a Commanders win (by 7; the line gave the Commanders 47%) and more points (41).
Washington Commanders 24 — Giants 17
“PICK: Commanders 24-17 over Giants”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 24–17 calls a Commanders win (by 7; the line gave the Commanders 47%) and more points (41).
Buffalo Bills 24 — Vikings 17
“John Breech's pick: Bills 24-17 over Vikings”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3, total 45.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Bills win (by 7) and fewer points (41).
Minnesota Vikings to beat Bills
“John Breech: Vikings”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · underdog pick, Vikings 38%.
Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Ravens 13
“John Breech's pick: Jaguars 30-13 over Ravens”
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 30–13 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 17) and more points (43).
Cincinnati Bengals 34 — Falcons 30
“John Breech — Bengals (-3) 34-30 over Falcons... the Bengals have Joe Burrow, who will find a way to will his team to a win in a shootout.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 34–30 calls a bigger Bengals win (by 4) and more points (64). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Jacoby Brissett to move to Baltimore Ravens
“The only thing we do know is that Brissett will be a Raven at some point in the next 48 hours”
Kedon Slovis to land on the practice squad
“since he was signed off another team's practice squad, that means he has a guaranteed spot on the Ravens' 53-man roster this week”