Tyler Sullivan

Tyler Sullivan covers the NFL for CBS Sports, writing weekly columns that span game predictions, power rankings, and roster moves across the league. His work touches every corner of the schedule—from Vikings injury updates to early betting lines to team-by-team grades—with a particular focus on the AFC and NFC matchups that shape the playoff picture.

Writes at Sports Illustrated

Every take from Tyler Sullivan, including the ones still waiting →

Is Tyler Sullivan accurate? Across 51 graded calls in 19 articles, Tyler Sullivan scores 50.82% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 9.72, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.

50.82%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

9.72

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 19 articles. 92 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Score Predictions24 graded51.75 accuracy
Game Outcome Picks14 graded56 accuracy
Depth Chart Calls11 graded62.5 accuracy

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

earliest callscareer avg 58 ┄latest form: 50

Graded calls · 51

13 of 19 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 2.

Sullivan picked the Eagles to beat the Bears 26-20.Sep 28, 2026
- Philadelphia Eagles 26 — Bears 20
  “Tyler Sullivan's pick: Eagles 26-20 over Bears”
  Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 54.46-71.44 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  7-27
  skill:
  -71.44
  they picked:
  PHI
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  16.67
  baseline:
  54.46
  difficulty:
  1.89
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  20
  weeks left when called:
  16

Sullivan projects final scores for every Week 3 game, including a Bills blowout of the reeling Chargers, a Chiefs rout in Miami, a Seahawks win over a Mariota-led Washington, and the Saints beating the Raiders in their home opener. He also expects Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels and Jaxson Dart all to be sidelined in Week 3, with Marcus Mariota starting for Washington.16 graded calls · Sep 23, 2026

Kansas City Chiefs 33 — Dolphins 16
“Projected score : Chiefs 33, Dolphins 16”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 17.78+141.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-10
skill:
141.89
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
17.78
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints 24 — Raiders 20
“Projected score : Saints 24, Raiders 20”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 32.07+15.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-27
skill:
15.89
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
32.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
4
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles 26 — Bears 20
“Eagles at Bears (Monday) Projected score : Eagles 26, Bears 20”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 54.46-71.44 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-27
skill:
-71.44
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
16.67
baseline:
54.46
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
20
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.88
predicted margin:
6
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals 27 — Steelers 20
“Bengals at Steelers Projected score : Bengals 27, Steelers 20”
Close · 40Scored 40.48a naive guess scored 93.97-101.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
27-30
skill:
-101.11
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
40.48
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
7
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Commanders 17
“Projected score : Seahawks 27, Commanders 17”
Miss · 31Scored 30.95a naive guess scored 96.35-123.61 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-33
skill:
-123.61
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
30.95
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Tennessee Titans 23 — Giants 20
“Titans at Giants Projected score : Titans 23, Giants 20”
Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 89.21-83.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
7-12
skill:
-83.11
they picked:
TEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
45.24
baseline:
89.21
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
5
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills 31 — Chargers 20
“Projected score : Bills 31, Chargers 20”
Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 82.07+20.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
16-24
skill:
20.39
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
92.86
baseline:
82.07
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
11
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions 33 — Jets 21
“Projected score : Lions 33, Jets 21”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 84.45+6.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-31
skill:
6.89
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
84.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
12
Think this grade is wrong?
Carolina Panthers 24 — Browns 21
“Panthers at Browns Projected score : Panthers 24, Browns 21”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 93.97-83.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
18-21
skill:
-83.11
they picked:
CAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
93.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers 26 — Falcons 21
“Falcons at Packers (Thursday) Projected score : Packers 26, Falcons 21”
Miss · 12Scored 11.9a naive guess scored 0+22.5 skill
How this was scored
score:
35-14
skill:
22.5
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
11.9
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
21
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
-0.45
predicted margin:
5
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars 23 — Patriots 21
“Patriots at Jaguars Projected score : Jaguars 23, Patriots 21”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-35
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
29
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
2
Think this grade is wrong?
Indianapolis Colts 26 — Texans 23
“Texans at Colts Projected score : Colts 26, Texans 23”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 96.35+2.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
17-19
skill:
2.39
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
96.35
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
2
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams 23 — Broncos 20
“Rams at Broncos Projected score : Rams 23, Broncos 20”
Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 91.59-83.11 skill
How this was scored
score:
26-30
skill:
-83.11
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
91.59
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
4
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
3
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens 31 — Cowboys 29
“Ravens at Cowboys (in Brazil) Projected score : Ravens 31, Cowboys 29”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 43.97+101.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
101.39
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
43.97
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
2
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers 33 — Cardinals 23
“Cardinals at 49ers Projected score : 49ers 33, Cardinals 23”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 86.83+6.89 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-36
skill:
6.89
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
86.83
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
10
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings 23 — Buccaneers 21
“Vikings at Buccaneers Projected score : Vikings 23, Buccaneers 21”
Hit · 88Scored 88.1a naive guess scored 34.45+101.39 skill
How this was scored
score:
23-16
skill:
101.39
they picked:
MIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
34.45
difficulty:
1.89
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
16
naive home margin:
0.47
predicted margin:
2
Think this grade is wrong?

A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins.5 graded calls · Sep 17, 2026

New York Jets to beat Green Bay Packers
“Green Bay Packers at New York Jets (+3.5) ... Provided he keeps it clean again and doesn't make Green Bay's life easier, New York could mess around as a home dog and win outright.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
GB
score:
20-17
skill:
0
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NYJ
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to beat Buffalo Bills
“Detroit Lions (+4.5) at Buffalo Bills ... identified five favorites that could be on upset alert. ... If he can get rolling and help Detroit win the time-of-possession battle, it could go a long way toward helping the defense limit Josh Allen's impact.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
31-41
skill:
-194
they picked:
DET
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Denver Broncos
“Jacksonville Jaguars (+2.5) at Denver Broncos ... Meanwhile, going into Denver and pulling out a win isn't foreign to the Jaguars.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-194 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
13-20
skill:
-194
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
DEN
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Houston Texans
“Cincinnati Bengals (+3) at Houston Texans ... If this is an early indication that the unit may regress (even slightly) from their stellar production last season, the Bengals could be live.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
20-6
skill:
194
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to beat Baltimore Ravens
“New Orleans Saints (+8.5) at Baltimore Ravens ... If this turns into another shootout, Shough has shown he can at least hang around. I also wonder if this is quietly a look-ahead spot for Baltimore”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+194 skill
How this was scored
won:
NO
score:
24-17
skill:
194
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
17
Think this grade is wrong?