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Tyler Sullivan covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing on game outcomes, player movement and awards. Sullivan's predictions touch teams across the league, from the Chiefs and Vikings to the Raiders and 49ers, with recurring attention to quarterbacks like Kirk Cousins, Lamar Jackson and J.J. McCarthy.
More about Tyler Sullivan ↓Writes at CBS Sports
Across 192 graded calls in 63 articles, Tyler Sullivan scores 62.02% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 31.12, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles. That ranks #27 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Score Predictions (66.3% accuracy across 120 graded calls); their weakest is Depth Chart Calls (62.5% across 11 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 336 calls · one square per call
93hits48% of graded
48Close25%
51misses27%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Tyler Sullivan covers the NFL for CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated, writing on game outcomes, player movement and awards. Sullivan's predictions touch teams across the league, from the Chiefs and Vikings to the Raiders and 49ers, with recurring attention to quarterbacks like Kirk Cousins, Lamar Jackson and J.J. McCarthy.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
192 graded calls in 63 articles, newest first — page 1 of 6. Every take from Tyler Sullivan, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
144waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Tyler Sullivan would be #43; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #27.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Daniel Jeremiah | 32.65 | 75.27% | 277 |
| 26 | Bucky Brooks | 31.2 | 73.7% | 119 |
| 27 | Tyler Sullivan | 31.12 | 62.02% | 192 |
| 28 | Mike Renner | 30.86 | 61.26% | 125 |
| 29 | Brian Peacock | 29.93 | 69.81% | 84 |
Washington Commanders 24 — Giants 21
“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Commanders 24-21 over Giants”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5, total 40.5 · this 24–21 calls a Commanders win (by 3; the line gave the Commanders 47%) and more points (45).
Buffalo Bills 24 — Vikings 17
“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Bills 24-17 over Vikings”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3, total 45.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Bills win (by 7) and fewer points (41).
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
“Tyler Sullivan: Bills”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Tyler Sullivan: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Chicago Bears 28 — Buccaneers 20
“Tyler Sullivan — Bears (-6.5) 28-20 over Buccaneers.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Bears win (by 8) and more points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Jacksonville Jaguars 28 — Ravens 16
“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Jaguars 28-16 over Ravens”
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 28–16 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 12) and more points (44).
New Orleans Saints 24 — Browns 20
“Saints 24, Browns 20”
Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Saints by 4) and more points (44).
Houston Texans 24 — Chargers 20
“Texans 24, Chargers 20”
Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Texans by 4) and more points (44).
Kansas City Chiefs 30 — Jets 20
“Chiefs 30, Jets 20”
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 10) and more points (50).
Denver Broncos 21 — Panthers 20
“Broncos 21, Panthers 20”
Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 21–20 calls a closer game (Broncos by 1) and fewer points (41).
Atlanta Falcons to beat Cincinnati Bengals
“If it's a ground-controlled game for Atlanta, that could be the avenue to pulling off the win.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3 · underdog pick, Falcons 38%.
Green Bay Packers to beat New England Patriots
“With a potentially limited cast around Maye, Green Bay's strength could end up winning the day and the game.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · underdog pick, Packers 38%.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Houston Texans
“Texans allow Chargers their first win ... If they continue to look sluggish defensively, maybe the Texans open the door for the Chargers to catch lightning in a bottle at home.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5 · underdog pick, Chargers about 1 in 3 (33%).
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Bears 23
“Tyler Sullivan's pick: Seahawks 27-23 over Bears”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 27–23 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 4) and more points (50).