Connor Rogers

Writes at Chris Simms Unbuttoned (podcast)

#32of 87 ranked NFL punditsLimited sample: 12 graded articles

27.12MissedTakes Scorevs a naive guess · 0 = no better

72.77%Accuracyhow often the calls landed

70Graded callsacross 12 articles

23Waitingnot graded yet

Is Connor Rogers accurate?

Across 70 graded calls in 12 articles, Connor Rogers scores 72.77% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 27.12, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.

That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #32 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.

How accurate are NFL experts overall? →

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.

All 93 calls · one square per call

48hits69% of graded

3Close4%

19misses27%

Where Connor Rogers stands

All 87 ranked NFL pundits · dot size = graded calls · hover a dot for the name

MissedTakes Score

How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.

Form

rolling accuracy, last 15 graded calls

100%30%career 71%

Awards

Computed, never chosen: the best article-weighted record over a finished week or month

Pundit of the Week · Week 45, 2026100%Accuracy10 graded calls across 3 articles

Every graded call, article by article

HitCloseMissWaiting

70 graded calls in 12 articles, newest first — page 1 of 3. Every take from Connor Rogers, including the ones still waiting →

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Nov 6, 2026
Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.Game Outcome Picks · 11 calls
10 hits · 1 miss · 10 of 11 graded calls landed
Show the 11 graded callsHide the grading

Standings

Full leaderboard →

#	Pundit	Score	Accuracy	Graded
30	Andrew Erickson	28.7	68.35%	102
31	Jamie Erdahl	28.21	35.4%	59
32	Connor Rogers	27.12	72.77%	70
33	Alain Poupart	24.95	74.14%	102
34	John Breech	24.86	56.52%	236

How sure we are

Graded articles12 of 30

Ranked at 10 · a full record at 30

Graded calls70 of 93

Kinds rated1

A kind is rated at five graded calls; 1 more kind has fewer

Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“I think the Seahawks definitely win this game. Yeah. It's a lower confidence that Arizona covers.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SEA
score:
3-17
skill:
0
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SEA
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Falcons
“I have the Bengals winning this game, but I don't have them covering the three points.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
How this was scored
won:
CIN
score:
34-17
skill:
156
they picked:
CIN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
ATL
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos to beat Carolina
“But a field goal for Denver right now... I like Denver. Alright. Cover, win”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
How this was scored
won:
DEN
score:
26-21
skill:
156
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CAR
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3 · favorite pick, Broncos 58%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets
“I don't think the Jets win this game... Think the Chiefs will win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
12-35
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to beat Green Bay
“I'm gonna take Green Bay with the cover and New England to win”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
GB
score:
45-27
skill:
0
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
NE
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to beat Browns
“Yeah. I think the Saints win and cover this game.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
NO
score:
22-23
skill:
0
they picked:
NO
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
NO
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5 · favorite pick, Saints about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans to beat chargers
“I'm going right back to the Chargers... not to win Right. Because they just can't beat anybody. Yeah. But you're gonna have them cover.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
How this was scored
won:
HOU
score:
44-22
skill:
156
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5 · favorite pick, Texans about 2 in 3 (67%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to beat Raiders
“The Niners win this game. They might even win it easily... can the Raiders just score enough to backdoor cover this?”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
SF
score:
17-38
skill:
0
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to beat commanders
“I'm gonna take the commanders to cover. Alright. I don't think they'll win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAR
score:
20-13
skill:
156
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
WAS
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Rams by 4.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (66%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Giants to beat Eagles
“I'm gonna take the Giants to win, but only by a field goal or less.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skill
How this was scored
won:
NYG
score:
19-11
skill:
156
they picked:
NYG
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3 · favorite pick, Giants 59%.
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears to beat Bucks
“My second point and why I'm taking the Bears to win and cover, the prime time Bears right now.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
24-27
skill:
0
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1.56
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
10
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bears 71%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this grade is wrong?