Sleeper Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 1,251
- Graded
- 179
- Average accuracy
- 53.1
- Pundits
- 79
14% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
179 / 1,251
graded
1,072 still pending
By season
- 2025179 of 183 graded
- 20260 of 1068 graded
Who is good at sleeper calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Tom Strachan75 accuracy · 16 graded+100.0
- Seth Woolcock67 accuracy · 3 graded+66.7
- Derek Brown60 accuracy · 34 graded+40.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice56 accuracy · 28 graded+22.4
- Ryan Wormeli55 accuracy · 11 graded+20.0
- Sean Kerner50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Mason Dodd47 accuracy · 15 graded-13.3
- Andrew Erickson46 accuracy · 25 graded-17.1
- Chris Raybon43 accuracy · 7 graded-28.6
- Joe Pisapia40 accuracy · 6 graded-40.0
- Chris Welsh33 accuracy · 11 graded-66.7
- Joe Dolan33 accuracy · 6 graded-66.7
- Scott Bogman33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Terrell Furman Jr33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Jake Ciely17 accuracy · 8 graded-133.3
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)44.1 · 179 graded
Every sleeper calls take
151–175 of 1,251
- PendingFantasyProsSleeper Calls2026 season
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (late-RB2 or top-of-RB3 range)
His stock has risen sharply, and he now belongs in the late-RB2 or top-of-RB3 range rather than as a dart throw.
MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 1, 2026 Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 11.11)
Here are 10 players being drafted in the 11th round or later who have the upside to become weekly must-start options... WR Xavier Worthy , Kansas City Chiefs (ADP: 11.11)
Michael Pittman to outplay his draft cost (after round eight)
If you're looking for a set-it-and-forget-it pick after round eight, Pittman is your best bet.
Tyler Shough to outplay his draft cost (late-round quarterback)
Tyler Shough is a wonderful late-round quarterback who could be a QB1 in 2026.
- PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls2026 season
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (after the 10th round)
In Purdy, you're getting one of the most efficient and productive quarterbacks in the league after the 10th round.
Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 31, 2026 - PendingKurt BlakewaySleeper Calls2026 season
Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (the final few rounds of drafts)
You can target Schultz in the final few rounds of drafts, giving you plenty of upside without having to spend premium draft capital.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 31, 2026 - PendingRichard JanvrinSleeper Calls2026 season
Patrick Mahomes to outplay his draft cost (ADP of QB14)
Patrick Mahomes has an ADP of QB14, and if anyone can bounce back, it's Mahomes.
Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 31, 2026 Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (dirt-cheap ADP)
Obviously, the risk with White is that he has not been able to completely separate himself from Day 3 RBs in the past (Bucky Irving, Sean Tucker), but that concern is more than accounted for in his dirt-cheap ADP.
- PendingJoshua PoniatowskiSleeper Calls2026 season
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (the last round of your draft)
This is the easiest click in almost every single draft. At his current average draft position (ADP), Malik Willis is practically free. Of all the quarterbacks I have mentioned, he carries the most upside at cost.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 31, 2026 Jonah Coleman to outplay his draft cost (ADP 168.2 | RB 53)
Coleman is my favorite sleeper running back candidate and someone I want to draft in every league.
James Cook to outplay his draft cost (ADP 9.6 | RB 5)
I happily draft him as the third running back off the board, easily ahead of Christian McCaffrey.
Jadarian Price to outplay his draft cost (ADP 59.8 | RB 26)
Price has a chance to be a massive steal at his current ADP, especially given how he stood out during training camp.
Saquon Barkley to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
With a new offensive coordinator and a healthy offensive line, it's not hard to start seeing positives for Barkley.
Justin Jefferson to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
if we see a bump to a similar range for Jefferson and his catchable target rate increases, then Jefferson should be fine
Ashton Jeanty to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
One player available at this spot with undeniable upside is Ashton Jeanty.
CeeDee Lamb to outplay his draft cost (1.12)
if you're happy to believe 2025 was a blip rather than the new normal, it becomes easier to see him as a value here
- PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls2026 season
Chig Okonkwo to outplay his draft cost (If you choose to wait on tight ends to the very end of your draft)
Chig Okonkwo will be donning a different uniform this season, and with that, could be in line for a much more productive season than expected... Okonkwo makes for a solid add, especially in 12-team leagues or larger.
Chig OkonkwoWashington Commanders
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls2026 season
Jake Ferguson to outplay his draft cost (Ferguson isn’t even being drafted in 10-team leagues)
Jake Ferguson is going completely overlooked based on current ADP, which makes him one of the easiest players to add to our recommendations as a sleeper going into the upcoming season.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls2026 season
Juwan Johnson to outplay his draft cost (currently being drafted as the 16th tight end)
His ADP absolutely warrant a sleeper tag as well, especially in smaller leagues. Juwan Johnson is currently being drafted as the 16th tight end in PPR leagues.
Juwan JohnsonNew Orleans Saints
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsSleeper Calls2026 season
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (Likely is currently the 12th tight-end going off the board)
With the increase in playing time, targets, and opportunity, Likely could be a very valuable sleeper in 2026-27.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 30, 2026 Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (a sixth-round ADP)
Tucker Kraft has a sixth-round ADP... should be a key contributor to the Green Bay passing game.
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round)
Justin Herbert has an ADP of QB9 and is going in the back half of the seventh round... the arrival of offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel could help unlock the sort of big passing numbers that Herbert produced in his first three seasons.
Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (being drafted in the seventh round)
The much-maligned Kyle Pitts is being drafted in the seventh round... the tight ends in Stefanski's Cleveland offenses averaged 164.3 targets over the last three seasons.
Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn)
Harold Fannin is coming off the board around the sixth-round/seventh-round turn... there are some gems to be mined at tight end in the middle rounds.
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (a late-eighth-round ADP)
Brock Purdy has a late-eighth-round ADP... I would rather have a Brock Purdy/Ladd McConkey combo than a Josh Allen/Michael Wilson combo.
By sport
NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)
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