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Writes at RealClearPolitics Podcast
Is AB Stoddard accurate? Across 1 graded call in 1 article, AB Stoddard scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 102, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“I think that Trump will win because I think that the country will not elect a woman. ... my hunch is he wins because I don't think the country will elect a woman”