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Writes at Rising (The Hill)
Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Allan Lichtman scores 0% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 1 calls · one square per call
1misses100%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
1 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“professor Lichtman has forecasted Harris, will top, the former president... That's why my prediction... I am predicting we're gonna have a path breaking president. The first woman president of The United States and the first president of African and East Asian descent.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Allan Lichtman isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.