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Writes at The Bulwark Podcast (feed title: The Bulwark Daily)
Is Bret Stephens accurate? Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, Bret Stephens scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“my prognostication is the house will flip to the Democrats and the Senate will flip to Republicans. ... Maybe maybe the senate, which seems likely.”
“my prognostication is the house will flip to the Democrats and the Senate will flip to Republicans”