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7 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
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Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–25 of 25
23 / 25
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2 still pending
I felt that Kamala Harris has a narrow but stable advantage in the blue Wall states ever since the debate ... And I think that she wins all four of those
People will be able to vote against Carrie Lake and for Trump because they don't wanna be represented by a fraudster and lunatic
He's gonna get about 47% tonight.
I think there's going to be an unpleasant surprise for blue Americans from Arizona ... People will be able to vote against Carrie Lake and for Trump
But I think that Kamala Harris will win a narrow electoral college victory with 276 electoral votes.
I felt that Kamala Harris has a narrow but stable advantage in the blue Wall states ... And I think that she wins all four of those
And it's probably why Florida and Texas aren't gonna happen.
And it's probably why Florida and Texas aren't gonna happen.
I've felt that Nevada has continued to be ... a bulwark for the Democrats over and over again despite turnover and despite being close. And I think that she wins all four of those
I felt that Kamala Harris has a narrow but stable advantage in the blue Wall states ... And I think that she wins all four of those
I think Harris is gonna win. I do think there's a bit of a late break... So I think the Carys wins, and I think we know the winner by basically no...
that augers almost certainly well for Wisconsin. I I mean, Seltzer would have to be way off for Wisconsin to be wrong, to be, you know, out of Harris's column.
my head says Trump. My heart says Harris. I think if I rationally look at the numbers and the polls and the way that the vibes and the momentum and the fact that, you know, Trump polling is understated and all that stuff and how close it should be is and it shouldn't be, then I think Trump has a very good chance of being president again.
Democrats are probably gonna have the hardest time keeping Wisconsin. Now we think they keep it by about twenty twenty margins, but it's very close.
Kamala Harris is the nominee. Kamala Harris is gonna be the next president. It is winning time.
Michigan is leans democratic... And so we think she ends up winning the state by about a point and a half, two points or so.
with the Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, we have Harris narrowly winning
And so right now, we think Donald Trump wins it by about a point, but it's very possible that that actually ends up wrong on election day
it would take something very surprising, I think, for the Democrats to win the Montana senate race right now even though Jon Tester is a good candidate. It's just the nature of our polarized times.
And I see no reason why the late break shouldn't be even tiny bit to Harris... I think she could well win. I actually do think she's gonna win.
she'll have a six three Supreme Court against her. She's gonna have a fifty one forty nine Republican Senate at best.
She's gonna have a fifty one forty nine Republican Senate at best.
my prognostication is the house will flip to the Democrats and the Senate will flip to Republicans. ... Maybe maybe the senate, which seems likely.
my prognostication is the house will flip to the Democrats and the Senate will flip to Republicans
You do know that Kamala Harris has been moving towards us? That, you know, this is not 2019 anymore. This is a very different situation. And she'll have Republican Senate and a Republican Supreme Court