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Writes at The Ben Shapiro Show
Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, Cabot Phillips scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -40.8, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 2 calls · one square per call
1hits50% of graded
1misses50%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
2 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“So Republicans are coming in right now, knowing they're gonna get at least 48. That's assuming you throw in North Carolina and Ohio”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Cabot Phillips isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“Two things right now seem to show that Republicans are gonna win... And then you've got the republican, Christine Draisen. She's in the low forties, high thirties, but that's enough to win this race because there are three serious candidates. Oregon could have a Republican governor.”