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Writes at Pod Save America
Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Carlos Odio scores 9% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 6.59, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 1 calls · one square per call
1misses100%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
1 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“So Trump winning by 10 seems a little bit outside of what my expectation would be. I mean, I've seen some internal polling in the last few days that was, you know, Trump up four. That seems a little bit more in line.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Carlos Odio isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.