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Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Across 5 graded calls in 1 article, Champ Bailey scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 27.78, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 5 calls · one square per call
3hits60% of graded
1Close20%
1misses20%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
5 graded calls in 1 article, newest first. Every take from Champ Bailey, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Champ Bailey isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Seattle Seahawks to beat forty nine ers
“I'm gonna tell you I said, I like the Seahawks... They gotta go on the road to Seattle, and that defense is another monster.”
Closing line (Jan 17): Seahawks by 6.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 72%.
Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl
“And we're gonna get that four championship for my Broncos. So we gotta get it, man, we gotta get it.”
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
“I think I'm a put the Rams in the Super Bowl”
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears
“Now, I do not I do not see the Bears winning this game.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (64%).
Denver Broncos to beat Bills
“here's this monster of the Denver Broncos, this defense. There is no way that he's looking forward to this one... So I know, I know they're ready for him this year... Broncos got it, yep”
Closing line (Jan 17): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Broncos 52%.