Champ BaileyJan 14, 2026
Bailey picks the Broncos to beat the Bills in the divisional round, the Seahawks to beat the 49ers at home, and the Rams to beat the Bears; they then put the Rams in the Super Bowl against Denver, with the Broncos winning their fourth championship.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Champ Bailey said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think I'm a put the Rams in the Super Bowl, and I'm gonna say they're gonna play... and we're gonna get that four championship for my Broncos.
- Where it was said
- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- Hall of Famer Champ Bailey makes Divisional Round + Super Bowl Picks, Talks His New Film “Signing Tony Raymond”
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 14
- GradedAug 5–17
- 1Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl“I think I'm a put the Rams in the Super Bowl”
- 2Seattle Seahawks to beat forty nine ers“I'm gonna tell you I said, I like the Seahawks... They gotta go on the road to Seattle, and that defense is another monster.”
- 3Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl“And we're gonna get that four championship for my Broncos. So we gotta get it, man, we gotta get it.”
- 4Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears“Now, I do not I do not see the Bears winning this game.”
- 5Denver Broncos to beat Bills“here's this monster of the Denver Broncos, this defense. There is no way that he's looking forward to this one... So I know, I know they're ready for him this year... Broncos got it, yep”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl1 | Conference Champions | NE and SEA won | 50 | 0 | +50 | |
| Seattle Seahawks to beat forty nine ers2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl3 | Super Bowl Picks | SEA won it | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Denver Broncos to beat Bills5 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 100 | 0 | |
| 5 calls · 3 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 70 | 40 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 70 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Conference ChampionsLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
What happenedNE and SEA wonpicked LAR50Close · naive 050this call−0a naive guess=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 50
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE, SEA
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
2Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to beat forty nine ers
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 17): Seahawks by 6.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 72%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 6-41
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
3Super Bowl PicksDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked DEN0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bears
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillClosing line (Jan 18): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (64%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- LAR
- score:
- 20-17
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- LAR
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
5Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to beat Bills
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 100100this call−100a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 17): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Broncos 52%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 30-33
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once
70naive 40
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd predicts Matt Stafford stays with the Rams rather than moving on, and says Travis Hunter may underachieve because they're being asked to play both ways — Cowherd doubts they're a No. 1 receiver and would slot them as a No. 2 receiver while being a No. 1 corner.Colin Cowherd · Trade and Signing Calls · Matthew Stafford · Hit 100
Cowherd believes Matt Stafford's public negotiation posturing means he ultimately stays in Los Angeles, and he flags Travis Hunter as a high draft pick who could underachieve because trying to play both cornerback and receiver full-time will hurt him.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.