David Sacks

Is David Sacks accurate?

Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, David Sacks scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

How accurate are election pundits overall? →

50%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

0

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

2

Graded calls

across 1 article.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 2

Sacks forecast a good night for Republicans, saying they would win the House and also take the Senate, driven by the economy and inflation.2 graded calls · Nov 9, 2022
- “I think it's gonna be a good night for the Republicans. You know, they're expected to win the house. I think they're gonna win the senate too.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored
  right:
  no
  election year:
  2022
  skill:
  −100
  topic:
  elections
  result from:
  senate: United States Senate, Party Division (https://www.senate.gov/history/partydiv.htm)
  chamber:
  2022-senate
  who controls it:
  Democratic
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  they said:

Republican

days before the vote when called:

0

difficulty:

1

the naive guess:

the party in control going in keeps it

Election Day:

2022-11-08

who controlled it before:

Democratic

Think this grade is wrong?

“they're expected to win the house. I think they're gonna win the senate too”

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill

How this was scored

right:: yes
election year:: 2022
skill:: 100
topic:: elections
result from:: house: Office of the Historian, U.S. House of Representatives, Party Divisions of the House of Representatives (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Party-Divisions/Party-Divisions/)
chamber:: 2022-house
who controls it:: Republican
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 0
they said:: Republican
days before the vote when called:: 0
difficulty:: 1
the naive guess:: the party in control going in keeps it
Election Day:: 2022-11-08
who controlled it before:: Democratic

Think this grade is wrong?