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Writes at Sports Illustrated
Across 3 graded calls in 3 articles, Garrett Chapman scores 53.97% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 53.87, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 8 calls · one square per call
3Close100%
5waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 3 articles, newest first. Every take from Garrett Chapman, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Garrett Chapman isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
San Francisco 49ers 28 — Falcons 17
“Prediction : 49ers 28, Falcons 17”
Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 11) and fewer points (45).
Atlanta Falcons 24 — Saints 17
“Prediction: Falcons 24, Saints 17”
Closing line (Oct 5): Saints by 1.5, total 47.5 · this 24–17 calls a Falcons win (by 7; the line gave the Falcons 48%) and fewer points (41).
Carolina Panthers 23 — Falcons 20
“It will be a tough one, but it feels gettable, and the Falcons really need it. Panthers 23, Falcons 20”
Closing line (Sep 20): Panthers by 2.5, total 43.5 · this 23–20 calls a bigger Panthers win (by 3) and fewer points (43).