Garrett ChapmanOct 25, 2026
Chapman picks the undefeated 49ers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta, saying San Francisco's weapons will be too much for a defense missing Divine Deablo.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Garrett Chapman said
Prediction : 49ers 28, Falcons 17
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- FalconsSI Predictions Falcons vs. 49ers Week 7: Can Atlanta Finally Win at Home?
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 25
- PlayedOct 25
- GradedOct 25
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 45.2 out of 100, against 77.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers 28 — Falcons 17
What happenedFalcons 29–20called 49ers by 11 · lost by 945.24Close · naive 77.8945.24this call−77.89a naive guess=−32.65worse than naive×1.67difficulty=−54.54skillClosing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 28–17 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 11) and fewer points (45).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 20-29
- skill:
- −54.54
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 45.24
- baseline:
- 77.89
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 11
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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More score predictions
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Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
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Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.