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Writes at The David Pakman Show
Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Gavin Wray scores 0% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 1 calls · one square per call
1misses100%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
1 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“A word of caution from Gavin Wray about the Texas polling. Tallerico, 47.6, and Paxton, 44.7, is a win for Paxton, my friend.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Gavin Wray isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.