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Leaderboard / Gerald Thomas, III

Gerald Thomas, III

Writes at Sports Illustrated

Every take from Gerald Thomas, III, including the ones still waiting →

Is Gerald Thomas, III accurate? Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Gerald Thomas, III scores 59.52% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 106.07, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

59.52%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

106.07

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article. 1 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 1

Predicts the Falcons win on the road in New Orleans by a score of 25-21.Oct 5, 2026
- Atlanta Falcons 25 — Saints 21
  “Prediction: Falcons 25, Saints 21”
  Close · 60Scored 59.52a naive guess scored 1.56+106.07 skill
  How this was scored
  score:
  45-24
  skill:
  106.07
  they picked:
  ATL
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  59.52
  baseline:
  1.56
  difficulty:
  1.83
  weeks in the season:
  18
  actual margin:
  21
  weeks left when called:
  15
  naive home margin:

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

0.66

predicted margin:

Think this grade is wrong?