Gerald Thomas, IIIOct 25, 2026
Thomas says Atlanta's skid continues, picking a lopsided 49ers win.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Gerald Thomas, III said
The skid continues.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- FalconsSI Predictions Falcons vs. 49ers Week 7: Can Atlanta Finally Win at Home?
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 25
- PlayedOct 25
- GradedOct 25
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 38.1 out of 100, against 77.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Score PredictionsSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers 37 — Falcons 23
What happenedFalcons 29–20called 49ers by 14 · lost by 938.1Miss · naive 77.8938.1this call−77.89a naive guess=−39.79worse than naive×1.67difficulty=−66.46skillClosing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5, total 49.5 · this 37–23 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 14) and more points (60).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- score:
- 20-29
- skill:
- −66.46
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 38.1
- baseline:
- 77.89
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- naive home margin:
- −0.28
- predicted margin:
- 14
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
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Big Cat picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the 49ers to handle the Raiders, the Seahawks to bounce back against the Cardinals, and the Bears to beat the Buccaneers by a projected 26-23.
More score predictions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 20-14 on Thursday night and takes the Packers over the Vikings 17-14 in a low-scoring Week 10 game.Jared Dubin · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Close 43
Dubin picks the Giants to beat the Commanders at home on Thursday night, projecting a 20-14 final score.