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Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, J. Miles Coleman scores 66.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 0, which means their calls were no better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 9 calls · one square per call
2hits67% of graded
1misses33%
6waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
J. Miles Coleman isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“Minnesota's open-seat race, where Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D) has only held a modest lead over former NFL sideline reporter Michele Tafoya (R) in a race we call Likely Democratic”
“We'd still expect Kotek to pull it out in the end... This race moves from Likely Democratic to Leans Democratic.”
“Finally, we're flagging South Carolina's Senate race as a Likely Republican sleeper... Graham should be fine in the end”