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Writes at State of the Union (CNN)
Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, John King scores 85% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 32.5, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 3 calls · one square per call
2hits67% of graded
1Close33%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“We still tilt Arizona Democratic. Republicans think that one is within their reach.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
John King isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“And in our rankings right now, we already have Republicans favored in 216 seats.”
“Elaine Loria's district is tilting Republican.”