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Writes at Sports Illustrated
Across 39 graded calls in 11 articles, John Pluym scores 19.32% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -31.7, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #82 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 53 calls · one square per call
18hits46% of graded
21misses54%
14waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
39 graded calls in 11 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from John Pluym, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy John Pluym would be #86; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #82.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | Dan Patrick | -24.68 | 52.11% | 26 |
| 81 | Chad Jensen | -28.84 | 68.81% | 14 |
| 82 | John Pluym | -31.7 | 19.32% | 39 |
| 83 | Matt Verderame | -35.45 | 20.74% | 42 |
| 84 | Patricia Traina | -36.23 | 43.1% | 68 |
New York Giants to beat Commanders
“Commanders at Giants — John Pluym: Giants”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5 · a toss-up, Commanders 47%, Giants 53%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“John Pluym: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears
“John Pluym: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chicago Bears
“John Pluym, SI : Seattle Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“John Pluym: Jets”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos
“John Pluym: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.