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Matt Verderame covers the NFL for Sports Illustrated and hosts the KC Sports Network podcast. Graded predictions include game picks, draft-position calls and player-movement forecasts for the Chiefs, Seahawks, 49ers, Bills, Ravens, Packers, Jaguars and Rams.
More about Matt Verderame ↓Writes at KC Sports Network (podcast)
Across 42 graded calls in 13 articles, Matt Verderame scores 20.74% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -35.45, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #83 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 80 calls · one square per call
20hits48% of graded
22misses52%
38waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Matt Verderame covers the NFL for Sports Illustrated and hosts the KC Sports Network podcast. Graded predictions include game picks, draft-position calls and player-movement forecasts for the Chiefs, Seahawks, 49ers, Bills, Ravens, Packers, Jaguars and Rams.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
42 graded calls in 13 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Matt Verderame, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Matt Verderame would be #84; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #83.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | Chad Jensen | -28.84 | 68.81% | 14 |
| 82 | John Pluym | -31.7 | 19.32% | 39 |
| 83 | Matt Verderame | -35.45 | 20.74% | 42 |
| 84 | Patricia Traina | -36.23 | 43.1% | 68 |
| 85 | Brady Quinn | -39.33 | 52.59% | 110 |
New York Giants to beat Commanders
“Commanders at Giants — Matt Verderame: Giants”
Closing line (Nov 12): Giants by 1.5 · a toss-up, Commanders 47%, Giants 53%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Matt Verderame: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears
“Matt Verderame: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chicago Bears
“Matt Verderame, SI : Seattle Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“Matt Verderame: Jets”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos
“Matt Verderame: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.