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Writes at Newt's World
Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Jonathan Martin scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 116, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 1 calls · one square per call
1hits100% of graded
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
1 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“he was probably going into the debate, he probably had a forty sixty chance to win the election, and I think that the debate lowered that. Right. He was already the underdog, and I think the debate just made them more of an underdog speaker... It's his to lose, as the saying goes”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Jonathan Martin isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.