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Writes at The Pat McAfee Show (podcast)
Across 2 graded calls in 1 article, Kirk Herbstreit scores 50% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -100, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 8 calls · one square per call
1hits50% of graded
1misses50%
6waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
2 graded calls in 1 article, newest first. Every take from Kirk Herbstreit, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Kirk Herbstreit isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Cincinnati Bengals
“I don't think the Bengals are allowed to win in the month of September... So I'm definitely going with Tampa Bay.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Bengals by 3.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers about 1 in 3 (36%).
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Cleveland Browns
“I'm going with the Jags. I'm gonna the Jags are gonna win, but it's gonna be closer in eight and a half.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).