Loading…
Loading…
Writes at State of the Union (CNN)
Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Marc Short scores 15% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -70, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 3 calls · one square per call
1Close33%
2misses67%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“I feel like Blake Masters is gonna win Arizona because reality is that the border is a serious issue down there.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Marc Short isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“I think we pick up the senate”
“now he's on the cusp of winning 20 to 25 additional seats”