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Writes at Sports Illustrated
Across 3 graded calls in 2 articles, Mark Morales-Smith scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 126.5, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 25 calls · one square per call
3hits100% of graded
22waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 2 articles, newest first. Every take from Mark Morales-Smith, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Mark Morales-Smith isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Baltimore Ravens
“Rodriguez should see plenty of volume in what is almost guaranteed to be a blowout win over the Baltimore Ravens. This game is not going to be close.”
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).
San Francisco 49ers to beat Miami Dolphins
“he'll face off in a much better matchup against the Miami Dolphins, which will in all likelihood be a blowout ... a game they had locked up before they even stepped in the building”
Closing line (Sep 20): 49ers by 12.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 6 in 7 (86%).
Green Bay Packers to beat Jets
“The Packers are going to torch the Jets in Green Bay, and with a shaky rushing attack and Josh Jacobs sidelined, they are going to be forced to do it through the air for the majority of the game.”
Closing line (Sep 20): Packers by 3.5 · favorite pick, Packers 62%.