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Writes at Locked On Saints (podcast)
Across 3 graded calls in 2 articles, Matt Dery scores 63.47% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -103.49, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 15 calls · one square per call
2hits67% of graded
1misses33%
12waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 2 articles, newest first. Every take from Matt Dery, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Matt Dery isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Detroit Lions 24 — Saints 20
“I said 20 to 24, so that they do end up covering.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Lions by 7, total 49.5 · this 24–20 calls a closer game (Lions by 4) and fewer points (44). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.
Tom Kennedy to land on the practice squad
“the lines are gonna elevate Tom Kennedy from the practice squad to be their punt returner”
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 17
“I mocked Caden Proctor to Detroit at 17 because I just think the SEC factor, the Alabama factor, Brad Holmes likes Alabama players”