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Is Michael Cohen accurate? Across 4 graded calls in 1 article, Michael Cohen scores 75% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 25, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“if I had to put money on it at this point would be that Trump would squeak ahead. ... I end up with Trump Trump winning narrowly.”
“The senate's gone, to to Republicans, and that's pretty set. ... I end up with senate for the Republicans.”
“Ted Cruz is gonna own gonna owe, Donald Trump his seat. ... Trump's gonna be able to turn to him and say, Ted, you know, the reason why you're not in Cancun right now is because of me.”
“the scenario for me is Trump wins, senate goes Republican, Democrats get the house ... I end up with the house, probably squeaks back the other way for idiosyncratic reasons.”