Politics Politics Politics (Justin Robert Young)

I still stand by that the the house majority is somewhere gonna be... Democrats might net between fifteen and twenty or so seats.

We're about the... I think we're definitely there in Georgia.

The wave warning is that Rob Wittman's seat, Virginia one you're talking about... in a wave year that's building right now, you expect that to be competitive, but Democrats do eventually win that.

I'm pretty confident in the house big picture here. ... You were our first person to pick our scenario, and you went down the center with win in name only. So Democrats don't take the senate and win the house by under 15. ... I'm still middle of the road right now.

We were at winning name only. Democrats don't win the senate. ... I'm still middle of the road right now.

I think we're done. We're done with those. Right? You know, with, congratulations, senator Cooper and reelection senator Ossoff.

congratulations, senator Cooper and reelection senator Ossoff

that wave watch is that Virginia two seat. Trump carried that by less than a point. If, Elaine Laurie up doesn't beat Jen Higgins there, something's gone horribly wrong. Democrats should win that pretty handedly.

I would also not be surprised if Ken Paxton and Ashley Henson and, you know, Roger Marshall, all these candidates, like you say, end up winning fairly comfortably in the end.

Win in name only... that is where I would probably be as well. [scenario: Democrats take the house by 15 seats or under and Republicans keep the senate]

I would also not be surprised if Ken Paxton and Ashley Henson and, you know, Roger Marshall, all these candidates, like you say, end up winning fairly comfortably in the end.

I would also not be surprised if Ken Paxton and Ashley Henson and, you know, Roger Marshall, all these candidates, like you say, end up winning fairly comfortably in the end.

I think right now, I will say democratic house, slim republican senate.

I think right now, I will say democratic house, slim republican senate.

this would it shock me at all if if Ashley Henson wins by five or six? Like, no. It it wouldn't to be totally honest with you, it wouldn't shock me at all if she wins by 10.

Then we have win in name only. This is Democrats take the house by 15 seats or under and Republicans keep the senate... that is where I would probably be as well.

but I don't believe that a shoddy get out the vote operation and a reliance on low propensity voters in blue states is enough for them to win the house. Republican White House, Republican Senate, Democratic House

I believe the map is too favorable to Republicans to not hand them the senate

I believe Donald Trump, the forty fifth president, will become the forty seventh president.

the scenario for me is Trump wins, senate goes Republican, Democrats get the house ... I end up with the house, probably squeaks back the other way for idiosyncratic reasons.

I think the fundamentals still favor Harris. It's incredibly tight. ... So I think Harris still has the edge right now.

The senate's gone, to to Republicans, and that's pretty set. ... I end up with senate for the Republicans.

if I had to put money on it at this point would be that Trump would squeak ahead. ... I end up with Trump Trump winning narrowly.

Ted Cruz is gonna own gonna owe, Donald Trump his seat. ... Trump's gonna be able to turn to him and say, Ted, you know, the reason why you're not in Cancun right now is because of me.

I don't see Texas and and and, and Florida flipping. I just don't.