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Mike ClayOct 16, 2026

Picks the Colts to beat the Titans.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100

Titans 26–20What happenedTitans at Colts

0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

0This callout of 100

0Skillafter difficulty

What Mike Clay said

Our reading: Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Titans vs. Colts Expert Game Picks: Tennessee Projected to Fall to an AFC South Rival For Second Straight Week
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 16
PlayedOct 18
GradedOct 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Game Outcome Picks Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans
What happenedTitans 26–20Titans at Colts
0Miss · naive 0
0this call0a naive guess0better than naive1.72difficulty0skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%.
How this was scored
won:
TEN
score:
26-20
skill:
0
they picked:
IND
season:
2026
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
IND
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
13
Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Titans at ColtsTitans 26Colts 2042 calls →

Who this take is about

Indianapolis Colts

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

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