Natalie Kerwin

Every take from Natalie Kerwin, including the ones still waiting →

Is Natalie Kerwin accurate? Across 4 graded calls in 3 articles, Natalie Kerwin scores 89.02% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 25, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

89.02%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

25

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

4

Graded calls

across 3 articles. 7 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

80% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 4

Kerwin lays out the Lions' running back pecking order (Gibbs, Pacheco, Vaki, Sailors), picks veteran Rock Ya-Sin to start opposite DJ Reed, and suggests Jackson Meeks beats out Dominic Lovett for the final receiver spot.Jul 22, 2026
- Jackson Meeks to make the roster
  “He may may get the spot over Dominic Levett”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  club:
  DET
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Jackson Meeks
  season:
  2026
  claimed:
  he makes the 53
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
  weeks in the season:

18

weeks on the53:

3

weeks left when called:

18

first week on the53:

1

weeks on the practice squad:

0

Think this grade is wrong?

Natalie's Lions mock pick at No. 17 in the 2026 draft was Utah offensive tackle Spencer Fano, with Penn State guard Olaivavega Ioane as her backup selection at that spot.2 graded calls · Apr 8, 2026

Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17
“So backup pick, I would take the guard, Oliva Vega, Yoani... So he would be a guard for the for the lions.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
100
Think this grade is wrong?
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17
“With the seventeenth pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft, the Detroit Lions select. Spencer Fano at pick 17 out of Utah.”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
50
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:

Kerwin predicted the Lions should and would address the interior offensive line with their pick at No. 17, naming the Penn State offensive lineman (Olaivavega Ioane) as the target.Feb 26, 2026

Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17
“one that sticks out to me is the guy from Penn State... personally, I think they need to draft an interior alignment at that spot.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

100

Think this grade is wrong?