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Writes at The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
Across 4 graded calls in 2 articles, Paul Pabst scores 79.4% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 40.79, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 9 calls · one square per call
2hits50% of graded
2Close50%
5waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
4 graded calls in 2 articles, newest first. Every take from Paul Pabst, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Paul Pabst isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Ty Simpson to be 3rd quarterback off the board
“Do you think Ty Simpson of Alabama looked at the landscape and said, yeah, I'm the third best quarterback right now, and that's a good position to be in in this draft. I may have to go late first, early second”
Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl
“twenty seven to twenty four Eagles in overtime”
Jalen Hurts to win Super Bowl MVP
“I'm gonna give it to Jalen Hurt's twenty seven to twenty four Eagles in overtime.”
Philadelphia Eagles 27 — Chiefs 24
“I'm gonna give it to Jalen Hurt's twenty seven to twenty four Eagles in overtime.”
Closing line (Feb 9): Chiefs by 1.5, total 48.5 · this 27–24 calls a Eagles win (by 3; the line gave the Eagles 48%) and more points (51).