Ron Elving

Not ranked yetBuilding a record: 1 graded article

101MissedTakes Scorevs a naive guess · 0 = no better

100%Accuracyhow often the calls landed

1Graded callsacross 1 article

0Waitingnot graded yet

Is Ron Elving accurate?

Across 1 graded call in 1 article, Ron Elving scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 101, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.

That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

How accurate are election pundits overall? →

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1hits100% of graded

Where Ron Elving stands

All 21 ranked election pundits · dot size = graded calls · hover a dot for the name

MissedTakes Score

How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.

By kind

accuracy · graded calls

No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.

Also called, too few graded to rateControl of Congress (1)

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Every graded call, article by article

HitCloseMissWaiting

1 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.

Oct 31, 2022
Elving said it is very hard to see Democrats keeping the House, pointing to historical midterm losses for a new president's party, and suggested the real suspense lies with the Senate.Control of Congress · 1 call
1 hit
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- “It seems as though it's very hard to make a case for the Democrats holding on in the house.”
  Hit · 100

Accuracy alone

The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.

Standings

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Ron Elving isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.

How sure we are

Graded articles1 of 30

Ranked at 10 · a full record at 30

Graded calls1 of 1

Kinds rated0

A kind is rated at five graded calls; 1 more kind has fewer

Scored 100

a naive guess scored 0

+101 skill

How this was scored

right:: yes
election year:: 2022
skill:: 101
topic:: elections
in their words:: very hard to make a case for the Democrats holding on in the house
result from:: house: Office of the Historian, U.S. House of Representatives, Party Divisions of the House of Representatives (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Party-Divisions/Party-Divisions/)
chamber:: 2022-house
who controls it:: Republican
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 0
they said:: Republican
days before the vote when called:: 7
difficulty:: 1.01
the naive guess:: the party in control going in keeps it
Election Day:: 2022-11-08
who controlled it before:: Democratic

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