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Writes at State of the Union (CNN)
Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Ronna Romney McDaniel scores 25% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -25.25, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 3 calls · one square per call
1hits33% of graded
2misses67%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 1 article, newest first.
“I think Republicans keep the senate. I think where they're they're fighting in these red states, in those states, independents lean Republican, and I think Republicans keep the senate.”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Ronna Romney McDaniel isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“I think it looks like the house is is probably gonna go to Democrats. That's just what I'm seeing, in your external polls.”
“Listen. I think Mike Rogers is gonna win this race. That's how I feel.”