Ryan Reynolds

Every take from Ryan Reynolds, including the ones still waiting →

Is Ryan Reynolds accurate? Across 70 graded calls in 2 articles, Ryan Reynolds scores 50.06% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -31.83, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

50.06%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-31.83

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 2 articles. 1 more not yet settled.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

95.45% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 70

1 of 2 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 2.

Reynolds predicted win-loss records for all 32 teams, playoff seeding for both conferences, several league-leader player predictions, and picked the Bengals to beat the Cowboys in the Super Bowl.66 graded calls · Sep 5, 2023
- New York Jets to finish with 12 wins
  “New York Jets: 12-5”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NYJ
  naive:
  7.75
  skill:
  -170
  what happened:
  7
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  85
  predicted:
  12
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cincinnati Bengals to win the Super Bowl
  “Super Bowl Prediction: Bengals over Cowboys”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -200
  they picked:
  CIN
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  champion:
  KC
  runner up:
  SF
  the naive pick:
  KC
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
  “NFC Playoff Seeding: 5. Seahawks”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  SEA
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs
  “NFC Playoff Seeding: 3. Saints”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NO
  skill:
  -200
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cleveland Browns to finish with 9 wins
  “Cleveland Browns: 9-8”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 35+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CLE
  naive:
  7.75
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  11
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  35
  predicted:
  9
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
  “AFC Playoff Seeding: 6. Ravens”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  BAL
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
  “AFC Playoff Seeding: 2. Chiefs”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  KC
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Nick Chubb to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
  “Nick Chubb leads the league in rushing yards.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Nick Chubb
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  RB
  ranked by:
  rushing yards
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  3
  actual finish:
  73
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Arizona Cardinals to finish with 2 wins
  “Arizona Cardinals: 2-15”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  ARI
  naive:
  6.25
  skill:
  10
  what happened:
  4
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  55
  predicted:
  2
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- San Francisco 49ers to finish with 12 wins
  “San Francisco 49ers: 12-5”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  SF
  naive:
  10.75
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  12
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  75
  predicted:
  12
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
  “AFC Playoff Seeding: 1. Jaguars”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  JAX
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Amon-Ra St. Brown to finish top 1 at his position, by receptions
  “Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the league in receptions.”
  Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 83.33+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Amon-Ra St. Brown
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  83.33
  baseline:
  83.33
  position:
  WR
  ranked by:
  receptions
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  5
  actual finish:
  3
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 11 wins
  “Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CIN
  naive:
  10.25
  skill:
  -30
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  75
  predicted:
  11
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 12 wins
  “Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-5”
  Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 95-110 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  JAX
  naive:
  8.75
  skill:
  -110
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  40
  baseline:
  95
  predicted:
  12
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins
  “Chicago Bears: 8-9”
  Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CHI
  naive:
  5.75
  skill:
  10
  what happened:
  7
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  80
  baseline:
  75
  predicted:
  8
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New York Jets to make the playoffs
  “AFC Playoff Seeding: 3. Jets”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NYJ
  skill:
  -200
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Green Bay Packers to finish with 7 wins
  “Green Bay Packers: 7-10”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 85-50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  GB
  naive:
  8.25
  skill:
  -50
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  85
  predicted:
  7
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Baltimore Ravens to finish with 11 wins
  “Baltimore Ravens: 11-6”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 25+70 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  BAL
  naive:
  9.25
  skill:
  70
  what happened:
  13
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  25
  predicted:
  11
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
  “Buffalo Bills: 11-6”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  BUF
  naive:
  10.75
  skill:
  10
  what happened:
  11
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  95
  predicted:
  11
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Houston Texans to finish with 5 wins
  “Houston Texans: 5-12”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 15-30 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  HOU
  naive:
  5.75
  skill:
  -30
  what happened:
  10
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  15
  predicted:
  5
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins
  “Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  PIT
  naive:
  8.75
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  10
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  75
  predicted:
  10
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Justin Herbert to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
  “Herbert leads the league in passing yards.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Justin Herbert
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  QB
  ranked by:
  passing yards
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  2
  actual finish:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Rams to finish with 4 wins
  “Los Angeles Rams: 4-13”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 35-70 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LAR
  naive:
  6.75
  skill:
  -70
  what happened:
  10
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  35
  predicted:
  4
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 3 wins
  “Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3-14”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  TB
  naive:
  8.25
  skill:
  -170
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  85
  predicted:
  3
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Joe Burrow to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds
  “Burrow leads the league in touchdown passes.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Joe Burrow
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  QB
  ranked by:
  passing tds
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  3
  actual finish:
  22
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Denver Broncos to finish with 8 wins
  “Denver Broncos: 8-9”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DEN
  naive:
  6.75
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  8
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  75
  predicted:
  8
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
  “AFC Playoff Seeding: 4. Bengals”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CIN
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
  “Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5”
  Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 95-30 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  KC
  naive:
  11.25
  skill:
  -30
  what happened:
  11
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  80
  baseline:
  95
  predicted:
  12
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins
  “Dallas Cowboys: 12-5”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 65+70 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DAL
  naive:
  10.25
  skill:
  70
  what happened:
  12
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  65
  predicted:
  12
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
  “AFC Playoff Seeding: 7. Chargers”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LAC
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Miami Dolphins to finish with 10 wins
  “Miami Dolphins: 10-7”
  Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 55+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  MIA
  naive:
  8.75
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  11
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  80
  baseline:
  55
  predicted:
  10
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins
  “Philadelphia Eagles: 11-6”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  PHI
  naive:
  11.25
  skill:
  10
  what happened:
  11
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  95
  predicted:
  11
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Washington Commanders to finish with 6 wins
  “Washington Commanders: 6-11”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 15+90 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  WAS
  naive:
  8.25
  skill:
  90
  what happened:
  4
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  15
  predicted:
  6
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins
  “Detroit Lions: 10-7”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 35+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DET
  naive:
  8.75
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  12
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  35
  predicted:
  10
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
  “AFC Playoff Seeding: 5. Bills”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  BUF
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving tds
  “Ja’Marr Chase leads the league in receiving touchdowns.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Ja'Marr Chase
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  position:
  WR
  ranked by:
  receiving tds
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  7
  actual finish:
  23
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 4 wins
  “Las Vegas Raiders: 4-13”
  Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 85-130 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LV
  naive:
  7.25
  skill:
  -130
  what happened:
  8
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  20
  baseline:
  85
  predicted:
  4
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
  “New England Patriots: 7-10”
  Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 15+50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NE
  naive:
  8.25
  skill:
  50
  what happened:
  4
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  40
  baseline:
  15
  predicted:
  7
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
  “NFC Playoff Seeding: 6. Eagles”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  PHI
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Indianapolis Colts to finish with 4 wins
  “Indianapolis Colts: 4-13”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 45-90 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  IND
  naive:
  6.25
  skill:
  -90
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  45
  predicted:
  4
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
  “NFC Playoff Seeding: 4. Lions”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DET
  skill:
  200
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
  “NFC Playoff Seeding: 1. 49ers”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  SF
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Carolina Panthers to finish with 6 wins
  “Carolina Panthers: 6-11”
  Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  CAR
  naive:
  7.75
  skill:
  40
  what happened:
  2
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  20
  baseline:
  0
  predicted:
  6
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins
  “Minnesota Vikings: 8-9”
  Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 25+110 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  MIN
  naive:
  10.75
  skill:
  110
  what happened:
  7
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  80
  baseline:
  25
  predicted:
  8
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New Orleans Saints to finish with 11 wins
  “New Orleans Saints: 11-6”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NO
  naive:
  7.75
  skill:
  -30
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  75
  predicted:
  11
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Tennessee Titans to finish with 7 wins
  “Tennessee Titans: 7-10”
  Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 65+30 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  TEN
  naive:
  7.75
  skill:
  30
  what happened:
  6
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  80
  baseline:
  65
  predicted:
  7
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New York Giants to finish with 8 wins
  “New York Giants: 8-9”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  NYG
  naive:
  8.75
  skill:
  30
  what happened:
  6
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  45
  predicted:
  8
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins
  “Los Angeles Chargers: 11-6”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 15-30 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  LAC
  naive:
  9.25
  skill:
  -30
  what happened:
  5
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  15
  predicted:
  11
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins
  “Seattle Seahawks: 11-6”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 95-70 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  SEA
  naive:
  8.75
  skill:
  -70
  what happened:
  9
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  95
  predicted:
  11
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Atlanta Falcons to finish with 9 wins
  “Atlanta Falcons: 9-8”
  Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 85-50 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  ATL
  naive:
  7.75
  skill:
  -50
  what happened:
  7
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  5
  accuracy:
  60
  baseline:
  85
  predicted:
  9
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs
  “NFC Playoff Seeding: 7. Falcons”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  ATL
  skill:
  -200
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  no
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  no
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
  “NFC Playoff Seeding: 2. Cowboys”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  team:
  DAL
  skill:
  0
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive guess said:
  yes
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  made the playoffs:
  yes
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year
  “Micah Parsons leads the league in sacks and wins Defensive Player of the Year.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  award:
  defensive_player_of_the_year
  naive:
  the naive pick was Nick Bosa, who won it the year before
  skill:
  0
  player:
  Micah Parsons
  season:
  2023
  winner:
  Myles Garrett
  correct:
  no
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  difficulty:
  2
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New York Jets to win the division
  “AFC East New York Jets: 12-5 ... AFC Playoff Seeding: ... 3. Jets”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -200
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  NYJ
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  BUF
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- New Orleans Saints to win the division
  “NFC South New Orleans Saints: 11-6 ... 3. Saints”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -200
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  NO
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  TB
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Micah Parsons to finish top 1 at his position, by sacks
  “Micah Parsons leads the league in sacks and wins Defensive Player of the Year.”
  Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -16.67
  player:
  Micah Parsons
  season:
  2023
  zero at:
  12
  accuracy:
  83.33
  baseline:
  91.67
  position:
  linebackers
  ranked by:
  sacks
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where he finished last season
  weeks in the season:
  18
  naive finish:
  4
  actual finish:
  3
  weeks left when called:
  18
  predicted finish:
  1
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed
  “AFC Playoff Seeding: 1. Jaguars 2. Chiefs 3. Jets 4. Bengals 5. Bills 6. Ravens 7. Chargers”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  JAX
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  checked as:
  the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
  actual tier:
  missed the playoffs
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where they finished last season (host)
  weeks in the season:
  18
  claimed seed:
  1
  claimed tier:
  bye
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Dallas Cowboys to win the division
  “NFC East Dallas Cowboys: 12-5 ... 2. Cowboys”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  200
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  DAL
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  PHI
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cincinnati Bengals to reach the Super Bowl
  “AFC Super Bowl Representative: Cincinnati Bengals”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -200
  they picked:
  CIN
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  champions:
  KC,SF
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Dallas Cowboys to reach the Super Bowl
  “NFC Super Bowl Representative: Dallas Cowboys”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  -200
  they picked:
  DAL
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100
  champions:
  KC,SF
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's conference champions
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  reached the Super Bowl:
  no
  lost the conference final:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- San Francisco 49ers to take the top seed
  “NFC Playoff Seeding: 1. 49ers 2. Cowboys 3. Saints 4. Lions 5. Seahawks 6. Eagles 7. Falcons”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  200
  they picked:
  SF
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  checked as:
  the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
  actual tier:
  bye
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  where they finished last season (host)
  weeks in the season:
  18
  claimed seed:
  1
  claimed tier:
  bye
  weeks left when called:
  18
  Think this grade is wrong?
- San Francisco 49ers to win the division
  “NFC West San Francisco 49ers: 12-5 ... 1. 49ers”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  SF
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  SF
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
  “AFC North Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6 ... 4. Bengals”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  CIN
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  CIN
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
  “AFC South Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-5 ... 1. Jaguars”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  JAX
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  JAX
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  no
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Detroit Lions to win the division
  “NFC North Detroit Lions: 10-7 ... 4. Lions”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  200
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  DET
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  MIN
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?
- Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
  “AFC West Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5 ... 2. Chiefs”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  skill:
  0
  method:
  division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
  they picked:
  KC
  season:
  2023
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  KC
  difficulty:
  2
  the naive guess:
  last season's winner of the same division
  weeks in the season:
  18
  weeks left when called:
  18
  won the division:
  yes
  Think this grade is wrong?

Graded calls · 70

1 of 2 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 2 of 2.

Reynolds predicted win-loss records for all 32 teams, playoff seeding for both conferences, several league-leader player predictions, and picked the Bengals to beat the Cowboys in the Super Bowl.66 graded calls · Sep 5, 2023

New York Jets to finish with 12 wins
“New York Jets: 12-5”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
naive:
7.75
skill:
-170
what happened:
7
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
85
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to win the Super Bowl
“Super Bowl Prediction: Bengals over Cowboys”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
they picked:
CIN
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
champion:
KC
runner up:
SF
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 5. Seahawks”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to make the playoffs
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 3. Saints”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
skill:
-200
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cleveland Browns to finish with 9 wins
“Cleveland Browns: 9-8”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 35+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
CLE
naive:
7.75
skill:
50
what happened:
11
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
35
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 6. Ravens”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 2. Chiefs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Nick Chubb to finish top 1 at his position, by rushing yards
“Nick Chubb leads the league in rushing yards.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Nick Chubb
season:
2023
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
RB
ranked by:
rushing yards
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
3
actual finish:
73
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 2 wins
“Arizona Cardinals: 2-15”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 55+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
ARI
naive:
6.25
skill:
10
what happened:
4
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
55
predicted:
2
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 12 wins
“San Francisco 49ers: 12-5”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
naive:
10.75
skill:
50
what happened:
12
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
75
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 1. Jaguars”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Amon-Ra St. Brown to finish top 1 at his position, by receptions
“Amon-Ra St. Brown leads the league in receptions.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 83.33+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Amon-Ra St. Brown
season:
2023
zero at:
12
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
83.33
position:
WR
ranked by:
receptions
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
5
actual finish:
3
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to finish with 11 wins
“Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
naive:
10.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
9
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
75
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 12 wins
“Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-5”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 95-110 skill
How this was scored
team:
JAX
naive:
8.75
skill:
-110
what happened:
9
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
95
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Chicago Bears to finish with 8 wins
“Chicago Bears: 8-9”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
naive:
5.75
skill:
10
what happened:
7
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
75
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Jets to make the playoffs
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 3. Jets”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
skill:
-200
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to finish with 7 wins
“Green Bay Packers: 7-10”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 85-50 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
naive:
8.25
skill:
-50
what happened:
9
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
85
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 11 wins
“Baltimore Ravens: 11-6”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 25+70 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
naive:
9.25
skill:
70
what happened:
13
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
25
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
“Buffalo Bills: 11-6”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
naive:
10.75
skill:
10
what happened:
11
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Houston Texans to finish with 5 wins
“Houston Texans: 5-12”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 15-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
naive:
5.75
skill:
-30
what happened:
10
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
15
predicted:
5
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins
“Pittsburgh Steelers: 10-7”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
naive:
8.75
skill:
50
what happened:
10
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
75
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Justin Herbert to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
“Herbert leads the league in passing yards.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Justin Herbert
season:
2023
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
2
actual finish:
18
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to finish with 4 wins
“Los Angeles Rams: 4-13”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 35-70 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
naive:
6.75
skill:
-70
what happened:
10
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
35
predicted:
4
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 3 wins
“Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3-14”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 85-170 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
8.25
skill:
-170
what happened:
9
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
85
predicted:
3
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Joe Burrow to finish top 1 at his position, by passing tds
“Burrow leads the league in touchdown passes.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Joe Burrow
season:
2023
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing tds
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
3
actual finish:
22
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Denver Broncos to finish with 8 wins
“Denver Broncos: 8-9”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
DEN
naive:
6.75
skill:
50
what happened:
8
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
75
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 4. Bengals”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with 12 wins
“Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 95-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
naive:
11.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
11
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
95
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to finish with 12 wins
“Dallas Cowboys: 12-5”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 65+70 skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
naive:
10.25
skill:
70
what happened:
12
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
65
predicted:
12
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 7. Chargers”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Miami Dolphins to finish with 10 wins
“Miami Dolphins: 10-7”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 55+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIA
naive:
8.75
skill:
50
what happened:
11
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
55
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to finish with 11 wins
“Philadelphia Eagles: 11-6”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+10 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
naive:
11.25
skill:
10
what happened:
11
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
95
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Washington Commanders to finish with 6 wins
“Washington Commanders: 6-11”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 15+90 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
8.25
skill:
90
what happened:
4
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
15
predicted:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins
“Detroit Lions: 10-7”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 35+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
8.75
skill:
50
what happened:
12
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
35
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 5. Bills”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving tds
“Ja’Marr Chase leads the league in receiving touchdowns.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Ja'Marr Chase
season:
2023
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
WR
ranked by:
receiving tds
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
7
actual finish:
23
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 4 wins
“Las Vegas Raiders: 4-13”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 85-130 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
naive:
7.25
skill:
-130
what happened:
8
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
85
predicted:
4
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
“New England Patriots: 7-10”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 15+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
8.25
skill:
50
what happened:
4
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
15
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 6. Eagles”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 4 wins
“Indianapolis Colts: 4-13”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 45-90 skill
How this was scored
team:
IND
naive:
6.25
skill:
-90
what happened:
9
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
45
predicted:
4
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 4. Lions”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
200
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 1. 49ers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Carolina Panthers to finish with 6 wins
“Carolina Panthers: 6-11”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
How this was scored
team:
CAR
naive:
7.75
skill:
40
what happened:
2
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
0
predicted:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Minnesota Vikings to finish with 8 wins
“Minnesota Vikings: 8-9”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 25+110 skill
How this was scored
team:
MIN
naive:
10.75
skill:
110
what happened:
7
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
25
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to finish with 11 wins
“New Orleans Saints: 11-6”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
NO
naive:
7.75
skill:
-30
what happened:
9
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
75
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Tennessee Titans to finish with 7 wins
“Tennessee Titans: 7-10”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 65+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
TEN
naive:
7.75
skill:
30
what happened:
6
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
65
predicted:
7
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Giants to finish with 8 wins
“New York Giants: 8-9”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 45+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
8.75
skill:
30
what happened:
6
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
45
predicted:
8
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 11 wins
“Los Angeles Chargers: 11-6”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 15-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
naive:
9.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
5
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
15
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins
“Seattle Seahawks: 11-6”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 95-70 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
naive:
8.75
skill:
-70
what happened:
9
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
95
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 9 wins
“Atlanta Falcons: 9-8”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 85-50 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
naive:
7.75
skill:
-50
what happened:
7
season:
2023
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
85
predicted:
9
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 7. Falcons”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
skill:
-200
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 2. Cowboys”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DAL
skill:
0
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year
“Micah Parsons leads the league in sacks and wins Defensive Player of the Year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Nick Bosa, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Micah Parsons
season:
2023
winner:
Myles Garrett
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
New York Jets to win the division
“AFC East New York Jets: 12-5 ... AFC Playoff Seeding: ... 3. Jets”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
NYJ
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
New Orleans Saints to win the division
“NFC South New Orleans Saints: 11-6 ... 3. Saints”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
NO
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Micah Parsons to finish top 1 at his position, by sacks
“Micah Parsons leads the league in sacks and wins Defensive Player of the Year.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-16.67
player:
Micah Parsons
season:
2023
zero at:
12
accuracy:
83.33
baseline:
91.67
position:
linebackers
ranked by:
sacks
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
4
actual finish:
3
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to take the top seed
“AFC Playoff Seeding: 1. Jaguars 2. Chiefs 3. Jets 4. Bengals 5. Bills 6. Ravens 7. Chargers”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
JAX
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
checked as:
the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
actual tier:
missed the playoffs
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (host)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
1
claimed tier:
bye
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to win the division
“NFC East Dallas Cowboys: 12-5 ... 2. Cowboys”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DAL
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to reach the Super Bowl
“AFC Super Bowl Representative: Cincinnati Bengals”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
they picked:
CIN
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
champions:
KC,SF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Dallas Cowboys to reach the Super Bowl
“NFC Super Bowl Representative: Dallas Cowboys”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
they picked:
DAL
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
champions:
KC,SF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to take the top seed
“NFC Playoff Seeding: 1. 49ers 2. Cowboys 3. Saints 4. Lions 5. Seahawks 6. Eagles 7. Falcons”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
they picked:
SF
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
checked as:
the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
actual tier:
bye
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where they finished last season (host)
weeks in the season:
18
claimed seed:
1
claimed tier:
bye
weeks left when called:
18
Think this grade is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to win the division
“NFC West San Francisco 49ers: 12-5 ... 1. 49ers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
SF
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
SF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this grade is wrong?
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
“AFC North Cincinnati Bengals: 11-6 ... 4. Bengals”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
CIN
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
CIN
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division
“AFC South Jacksonville Jaguars: 12-5 ... 1. Jaguars”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
JAX
season:
2023
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
JAX
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this grade is wrong?
Detroit Lions to win the division
“NFC North Detroit Lions: 10-7 ... 4. Lions”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DET
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this grade is wrong?
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“AFC West Kansas City Chiefs: 12-5 ... 2. Chiefs”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
KC
season:
2023
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this grade is wrong?