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Writes at The NPR Politics Podcast
Across 4 graded calls in 2 articles, Susan Davis scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 91, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are election pundits overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 4 calls · one square per call
4hits100% of graded
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
4 graded calls in 2 articles, newest first.
“the battle for control of Congress is still very tight, and the bottom line that, the senate tilts towards Republicans has stayed pretty static”
The same 21, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Susan Davis isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“Trump going to campaign in a place like Montana Right. Recently, like, that wasn't about Trump. He's gonna win that state.”
“And if Republicans flip Montana, which they are in a very good position to do, they have the majority.”
“And election day is in eight days, but millions of Americans have already voted. And Republicans are in a strong position to take control of the house and maybe even the senate if it's a big night for the GOP.”